TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb93b…454b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Premier League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 60 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$818.18
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.6
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.56
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+525%+$262.5
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$841.78
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$662.79
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+38.7%+$329.25
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+247.4%+$588.85
Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+68.8%+$172.12
Spread: Newcastle (-1.5)backed Newcastle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$133.02
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$136
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+177.8%+$133.33
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$77.27
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.93
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.44
Will NEC vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$213.16
Will PSV win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.27
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.5
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$312
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+284.6%+$996.15
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$251.41
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$63.6
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+121.6%+$607.76
Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$55.17
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+60.2%+$135.34
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will NEC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+651.4%+$162.86
Will AZ win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$93
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)backed AFC Ajax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Spread: PSV (-1.5)backed PSV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.97
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$146.8
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$286.3
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+104.1%+$156.12
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$121.81
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$64.29
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+185.7%+$139.29
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$64.24
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$610.29
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+244.8%+$244.83
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Austria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$290
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+26.6%+$132.91
Will Qatar win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.99
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$240
Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)backed US Lecce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.44
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.66
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$140.96
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+151.6%+$151.6
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+376.2%+$244.52
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Hellas Verona FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+78.6%+$117.86
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$73.88
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$74.39
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+137.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$61.65
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$144
All 4 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$433.33
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.