Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Volendam win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe58711f53bec871c10e32be7a552d22ae516bc551619493179a68c629fc49b08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 20c | 3,500$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 70c | 1,401$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.43 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 28c | 487.04$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.21 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 27c | 442.35$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.44 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 73c | 394.33$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…2fe5backed Yes | 16c | 386.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 7c | 298.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 247.01$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 23c | 183.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 171.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 131.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 72c | 110.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 28c | 109.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 104.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed No | 72c | 82.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 16c | 73.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…fc5bbacked Yes | 17c | 71.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…4fe5backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…cfcfbacked Yes | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 70c | 59.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 73c | 48.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 47.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked No | 73c | 27.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 75cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 72c | 18.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 70c | 16.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will FC Volendam vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.