Serie A · resolved market
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ddfc292445085e5373dd27a7edb98422d6fcfcded19eccebaebbfb366cdf54f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 7,610$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.76 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 30c | 6,647$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.25 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 38c | 2,370$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 28c | 2,030$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.24 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 1,909$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.9 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 70c | 1,885$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 70c | 1,728$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.7 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 36c | 1,714$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.56 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 30c | 1,186$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.73 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 32c | 925.16$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 772.85$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.92 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 71c | 697.9$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 31c | 603.23$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 28c | 555$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 4c | 549.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 70c | 545.71$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.71 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 73c | 524$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9d05backed Yes | 28c | 460.71$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 70c | 454$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 29c | 436.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 28c | 411.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed No | 64c | 392.94$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 364$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 327.47$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 17c | 327.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…6953backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 237.16$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 67c | 212.93$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…4f64backed No | 66c | 206.37$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 31c | 205.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 24c | 204.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 187.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 30c | 186.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 71c | 165.16$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 38c | 162.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…1524backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…8bafbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa96…018dbacked Yes | 8c | 134.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 24c | 125.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Yes | 23c | 91.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 18c | 87.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 30c | 81.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 63c | 79.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 30c | 67.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed No | 67c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf5…149bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 71c | 59.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 63c | 59.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 69c | 56.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…00debacked No | 70c | 49.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd8…bfe0backed Yes | 30c | 49.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 73c | 39.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…e45abacked Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 30.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 72c | 19.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…dd6bbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Milan end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-23?Yes won
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.