TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes55c35,247$19,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,870.4312050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No42c27,340$11,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,409.322828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x120e…5986backed Yes23c24,047$5,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,478.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+196.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c23,260$15,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,632.852,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No76c10,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6005240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes25c8,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0003636.1%13 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c6,861$5,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,376.896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes23c6,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,589.9714249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No76c5,500$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,179.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No74c4,709$3,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,484.921850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c4,629$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,459.6327737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes68c4,435$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Yes24c4,167$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.67475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+111.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75f…2687backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes55c3,913$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.381,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes71c3,150$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed No25c2,962$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.43033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c2,892$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.7248144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No76c2,400$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.999149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes25c2,158$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.1933357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes72c2,037$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.5543058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c2,009$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.1252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e11…b5a8backed Yes23c1,400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+337.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No77c1,345$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.632347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No75c1,310$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.8338744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Yes24c1,270$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.981457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+64.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes25c1,189$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.398334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes24c999.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.994658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No39c999.94$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3863724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes24c964.5$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.027145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes54c890$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.1420033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.3321650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked No79c826.09$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.61850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes45c800.86$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.959240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No76c800$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6081346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No37c681.48$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9335646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3439…4f64backed Yes48c652.97$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.89475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No74c633.17$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.5522551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No44c611.75$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.1613639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ec…5ab3backed Yes26c596.15$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No75c555.2$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.444753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.327337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes23c499.58$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.6820827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes24c491.67$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb939…ed05backed No77c453.75$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.781931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed No53c433.77$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2306243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f3b…be48backed No76c420$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.675856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.67520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.673357.6%19 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+44.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes50c392$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19622373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No42c386.81$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6324849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb3…315bbacked Yes26c386.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb9…351fbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.62837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No76c374.99$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.2414742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes25c362$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.513840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fca…4949backed Yes24c356.41$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.411346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes23c336.26$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9212923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed No77c325$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.251758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed No31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Yes21c309.52$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.521233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2288958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed No35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ac…d539backed Yes67c297.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes23c280.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.310736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No77c279.88$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0519549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked No79c278.48$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fdc…6d51backed Yes67c273.57$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No76c272.49$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.086162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes24c267.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.796850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No76c261.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes25c261.38$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.041741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed Yes59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+96.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3d…7bfbbacked Yes24c246.04$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes59c242.97$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7932843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Yes51c242.1$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.331233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes24c241.67$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.67742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick23cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes25c240$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec73…6af3backed Yes58c239.82$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.521154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Yes23c239.13$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.13728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c228.61$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2641943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aec…7d3cbacked No78c220.76$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.19450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.338548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b22…c776backed Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e20…1524backed Yes24c207.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Yes24c206$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.561650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x726e…34b1backed Yes25c203.88$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bad…aa78backed Yes22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15631441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes22c199.95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.961637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.311145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+74.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed Yes57c182.3$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No77c173.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4528556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.675954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.