TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e32…4e3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
169
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13527.4%37 W · 98 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$1,752.01
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$4,854.55
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$444.04
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.96
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+455%+$2,274.95
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+281%+$715.05
Norway vs. England: England O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$674.93
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$938.37
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.43
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.16
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$188.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$233.33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$450.37
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+400%+$400
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$541.7
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$277.34
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$327.36
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.4%+$369.35
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$2,322.53
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+376.2%+$752.38
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+614.3%+$614.29
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$927.97
All 21 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+284.6%+$569.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$105.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$432.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.