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Premier League · resolved market

Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fd4…aba5backed Yes0c17,117$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes39c15,000$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8509845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c14,699$8,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,738.72,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c12,312$4,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,849.251,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c12,126$4,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,763.761,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No61c11,192$6,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,364.8635652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes40c8,331$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.581,35848.3%656 W · 702 L-3.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c7,719$4,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.676,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed No62c6,430$3,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.82556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes37c5,815$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.564643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes38c5,187$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.0315748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No61c4,467$2,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.3210148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No61c4,289$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.778750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4801,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes39c3,991$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.063246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No61c3,500$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3656150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked No60c3,336$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.41275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes39c2,479$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.7290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes30c2,304$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes37c2,218$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.547754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c2,066$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.742,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78026750.9%136 W · 131 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9393…bedfbacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes38c1,949$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.8839156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9e…7928backed Yes41c1,809$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.721030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c1,678$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.824,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcbc…71c1backed No61c1,635$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.651163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No61c1,346$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.688853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad4…f293backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes37c1,223$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.495942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes7c1,057$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes39c1,037$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.5369042.2%291 W · 399 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes39c1,015$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.1511945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3709739.2%38 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37032558.8%191 W · 134 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3808747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No58c960.86$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5615944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No62c895$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.15366%35 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2015…3ddcbacked Yes13c884.62$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes9c806.53$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5940640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5a…6261backed No62c798.53$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes42c792.83$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.995448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yes41c700$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2871520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes39c663.01$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5186648.7%422 W · 444 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No59c655.91$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.929949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9518…c9e3backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5791…a476backed Yes39c598.38$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes36c587.8$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107534.7%26 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes28c580$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16523731.2%74 W · 163 L-14.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes27c534.3$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.713337.6%50 W · 83 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No60c532.23$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.895052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004626.1%12 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes43c519.84$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.533650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No59c510$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.761,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62b7…d224backed Yes39c504.92$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b97…3f54backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003435.3%12 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes39c437.71$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8714147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1564456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642536%9 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes20c395$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796443.8%28 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No61c392.64$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6930050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes41c370$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.711143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No61c358.45$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4432453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No60c357$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2325551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89bc…c6a5backed Yes40c335$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1341136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes39c333.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307542.7%32 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd72…cc45backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No61c306.96$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8315350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Yes32c304.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.041643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3933422.2%74 W · 260 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Yes41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12331353%166 W · 147 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes8c300$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257731.2%24 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No61c299.05$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.516546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11cf…7072backed Yes16c280$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005042%21 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c2f…8d38backed Yes39c258.56$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.842544%11 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf841…8571backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c6a…7305backed Yes43c254.61$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.26825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce0d…3a64backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+61.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1f98…0610backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb273…0c86backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No60c242.84$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1433057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6d9…4c90backed No62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.941060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes42c240.48$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014450%22 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007841%32 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No62c230.94$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.765276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes39c230.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9017845.5%81 W · 97 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8036036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.