TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$362,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$417,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,331 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No2c88,762$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.954,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No2c17,087$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.626015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No24c13,685$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,310.916,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked No36c10,660$3,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,837.592828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No70c10,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes64c6,227$3,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.813829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No36c5,522$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.810057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No69c4,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.9820448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes65c3,928$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.455862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c3,698$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,608.581,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No12c3,488$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No69c3,155$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.5990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No69c3,077$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.671,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes32c3,050$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,07468026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No4c2,821$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.281,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No70c2,230$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.189859.2%58 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No68c2,156$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.951,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79d1…f1a3backed No4c2,026$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.32825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.143246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3804358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38015748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed No43c1,860$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes64c1,800$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6483655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c1,709$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.091305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes30c1,615$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.7814456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No68c1,601$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.7514147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.59446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes30c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.995339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No34c1,426$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.5479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No3c1,371$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1213727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No69c1,288$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.3537054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes69c1,265$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.461,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes32c1,250$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed No68c1,250$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8502552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No68c1,200$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81640953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes31c1,120$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.814943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No69c1,064$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No68c1,050$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.0311346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes56c1,007$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.310426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No3c978.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4211712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes30c923.97$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.781,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1953134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No70c800$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No65c796.38$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.158853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No71c719.57$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.556759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5085…934cbacked No42c704.66$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+82%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c517.41$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.0768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No70c504.4$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.86546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.546956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No69c394.61$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.2830050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed Yes30c379.93$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.955455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes29c333$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.437741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec8…3bd9backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No9c321.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8929041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed Yes64c311.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20721839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20731053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21060557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No69c275.36$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905162.7%32 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1709534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1706240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No69c237.7$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.441,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes29c222$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6212241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14025553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14029259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13815350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14037958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Yes32c187.84$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.731442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed No12c171.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.065446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4916160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10523353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc1…648abacked Yes32c146.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No10c144.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.494930.6%15 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed No39c144$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.343141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf95d…ca8dbacked No24c142.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.73154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No45c127$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes30c124.4$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0858445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No70c120$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8435056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No70c120$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8456158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No69c119.35$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3525551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No43c112.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5229343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes31c108$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2518551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No70c101.63$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.145276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7211828%33 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3665…0212backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7011444.7%51 W · 63 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.581,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x565b…8efebacked Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.771250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+59.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Yes57c96.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.494438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed No42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes70c89$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.924146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No68c81.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6529735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd554…8676backed Yes31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.65825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.