Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96910d71cb14be1b2fa21b1fa26cf0bdfd1de09b165a0d7ff6699c550d8041b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 25c | 17,500$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,374.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 75c | 11,744$8,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed No | 75c | 2,700$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked No | 76c | 2,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.94 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 2,084$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.35 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 26c | 2,013$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.15 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 74c | 1,686$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.36 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 1,671$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.81 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,506$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 26c | 1,484$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.93 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 75c | 1,397$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,177$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 75c | 1,175$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 1,092$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.48 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 75c | 824.44$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.1 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 675.49$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 75c | 653$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 593.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 75c | 509.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 501$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 495$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 468$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 75c | 440$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…958dbacked No | 74c | 409.99$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 15c | 379.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 75c | 369$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 25c | 309.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 276.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 25c | 208.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 76c | 151.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed Yes | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 129.83$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f61…a4fcbacked Yes | 25c | 115.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3053…8b0dbacked Yes | 15c | 114.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff5…a783backed Yes | 13c | 112.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…c0b9backed Yes | 21c | 108.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…db0bbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…13d3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…5685backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b8…6b25backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 74c | 66.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…bf0bbacked No | 76c | 64.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…aedebacked Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 75c | 62.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…fa80backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…d0e7backed Yes | 26c | 57.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0548…77c2backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Yes | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 75c | 32.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.