TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$313,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$359,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xad94…85b1backed No38c32,000$12,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,039.996940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes61c23,381$14,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,118.421050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b4…9785backed Yes62c18,067$11,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,865.421540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No38c16,300$6,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,193.955736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No39c15,583$6,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,077.56346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked No43c13,566$5,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,857.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.996360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes61c9,029$5,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.52475%18 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No39c6,799$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.526033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf00…32bebacked No38c6,000$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+80.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes61c5,041$3,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.4627737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No39c5,025$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.6868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No33c4,493$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4924228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No38c4,410$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.49631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.956323.8%15 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Yes62c3,871$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.971353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No40c3,091$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.627332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2304860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b25…e597backed No38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes62c2,903$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.2312950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes78c2,851$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.234643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c2,849$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked No40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.91145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No39c2,226$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.181136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+126.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes69c2,202$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.712,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No39c2,148$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.497055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes61c2,117$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.438744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes58c2,114$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.1919549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No39c1,800$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.982347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes61c1,784$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.614030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No15c1,636$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.271,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No38c1,600$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6086839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes60c1,473$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.489556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes56c1,379$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.7693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No20c1,286$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes62c1,143$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.0411772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c1,020$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.1848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3906851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed No18c1,000$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.634429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes58c984.19$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.3243058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes61c983.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.6113137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes80c938$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.611153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes57c936.33$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No39c917.03$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.642429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes60c832.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.7241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.676253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes57c775$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.3417651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes65c769$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.8111964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf5b5…5b9cbacked Yes79c759.78$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.55366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No40c724.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9912452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No30c709.32$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.8759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes74c705.23$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.368169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No39c630.04$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7122947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95d8…2922backed Yes59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes61c571.5$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.56829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes62c564.52$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.525947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No41c499.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.993641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No38c499.94$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9811832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes60c494.88$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9713040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No14c413$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1817529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16031441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a5…eff8backed Yes73c396.8$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.372152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffec…2655backed Yes60c380.15$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aad…0975backed Yes60c354.45$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b3…28c2backed No41c354.45$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes59c348$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9238744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes58c335.38$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1616448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9475…a29ebacked Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes61c330.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.463956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.872948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.879953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce0d…3a64backed Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.587564%48 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e84…d31cbacked Yes62c316.79$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes62c309.71$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.693941%16 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No39c304.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.954932.7%16 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes61c304$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5616046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes56c302.28$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1337938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11412540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1144367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92dc…1e05backed No17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No31c266.46$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9616842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes57c261$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1528931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5445…439ebacked No39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…39bdbacked Yes62c252$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.761566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes60c251.67$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6715635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No40c240$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No39c227$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5314142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes61c214.08$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.849037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No39c204$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5423353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789944.4%44 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.