Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f706cc368eeebc1cc82efe031151cae213b72d5f75da2df61dc8d977b923fb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 14c | 7,125$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 6,100$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 15c | 6,100$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.99 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 14c | 6,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.96 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 13c | 3,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 1,467$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.26 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 16c | 999.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 16c | 999.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes | 4c | 841.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 5c | 697.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 14c | 500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 15c | 469.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 5c | 418.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 408.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 14c | 372.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 17c | 367$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Yes | 4c | 348.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 15c | 320$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 13c | 299.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…0e91backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 10c | 199$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 17c | 183.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…dc64backed Yes | 17c | 145.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 14c | 136.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…db0bbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 14c | 83.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…6d5cbacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 15c | 72.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.