TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,916 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No16c13,147$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.284,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c12,794$3,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,102.326,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes29c7,500$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,324.9738649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed No72c6,303$4,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,537.291376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed No71c5,411$3,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,841.812356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes56c4,000$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.873655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No49c3,489$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.912,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No45c2,069$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.631,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c2,045$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.911,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No71c1,889$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.514147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes61c1,627$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c1,511$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.991,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…19d9backed Yes55c1,378$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c1,014$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0177336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a44…e974backed Yes53c981.88$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes29c900$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63912241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes52c885$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.9525052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No71c823.94$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5859763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes54c792$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.7224146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No72c782$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.0414754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d55…cd90backed Yes28c700$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+74.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes29c577.07$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.0710626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes28c566.04$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.3830739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4752…2a91backed No62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c471.15$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.522,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c466.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.6719732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No24c433.01$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.125530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c417$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.0568942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fa…1780backed No50c401$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.51450%7 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9d9…1b2cbacked No71c345.07$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.831855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.332128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.332343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No70c324.89$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.1239156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2135149%25 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21351847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…8f24backed No72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe9d…743dbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6119…d7fabacked No15c258.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.992020%4 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-62%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd480…f63ebacked No71c245.07$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4f…4f62backed No71c243.66$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No72c243.06$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755162.7%32 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4735…a1bcbacked No71c239.44$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No55c225$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6429041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ede…4134backed No71c219.72$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes29c206.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.96838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes29c200.62$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.441,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14230050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No10c198.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0718251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No35c182.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4457744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fd…4e90backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c175.45$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.571,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes37c168.73$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.340640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.679961.6%61 W · 38 L+13.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Yes30c160$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11211460.5%69 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Yes63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5212…29c7backed No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes29c156.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.732227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c154.72$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb26…5e0abacked No71c152.11$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Yes29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.53847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…4f91backed No22c146.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.16633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed Yes29c142.86$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.433447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86ac…2c33backed No71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9316142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes42c127.1$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.842324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No68c123.69$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2758445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2116…d3c2backed Yes46c119.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.573026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No20c114.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4796645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2316…b824backed Yes29c105$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.55825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf711…db0bbacked Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1658…d875backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa601…cb7fbacked Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff3…70e4backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504839.6%19 W · 29 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6915735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.252227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7144036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcecd…d968backed Yes74c84$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b8…8d54backed Yes50c78.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No72c77.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.459555.8%53 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes75c73.47$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4729735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bc…d436backed Yes29c72.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.411952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496627.3%18 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b28…7762backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.972254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+54.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e92…5f14backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9736036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.974731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No40c67.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3416634.9%58 W · 108 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.675554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes41c65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2512650%63 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc347…97bdbacked Yes62c64.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb202…3909backed Yes31c63.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.911457.1%8 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick25cpaid+98%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7ba5…8689backed Yes30c63.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.451428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…9568backed No72c62.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1361…501ebacked Yes29c62.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.071060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+76.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7759…45b8backed No72c61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.