TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,054,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,130,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,054,901 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes32c753,957$241,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,141.551747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No68c222,222$151,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,111.0415344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No68c151,174$102,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,375.6527750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No68c150,000$102,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,00024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No68c62,500$42,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0005556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked No69c50,725$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,724.648962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No68c40,000$27,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,80015049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No68c18,888$12,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,044.1616848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No69c13,406$9,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,179.444259.5%25 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c12,293$9,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,047.672,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed No72c10,709$7,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.521172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes27c10,248$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.141,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No68c9,000$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8807147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes26c8,052$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.0216851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes31c6,000$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.9920448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9911…ae11backed Yes30c5,700$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed No77c4,974$3,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.3310736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes24c4,974$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1724,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c4,936$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.46,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No70c4,300$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2902166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No68c3,295$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.4211346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes18c2,665$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.054637%17 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c2,458$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.911,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes30c2,283$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68510743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes31c2,258$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes31c2,217$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.124643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No68c2,200$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9939156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aae…419dbacked No70c2,090$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.371861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6402552%13 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6403053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No68c1,876$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.2315748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes30c1,665$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5913939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes30c1,622$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.67929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed No71c1,498$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.566956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed No69c1,405$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.542661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No70c1,400$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4207759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked No72c1,384$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.632075%15 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes21c1,370$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.77332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes30c1,267$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3809250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes33c1,245$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.7512241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked No72c1,213$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.651266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Yes24c1,188$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.08922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Yes30c1,187$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.625942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes20c1,177$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.313847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes31c1,129$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes30c1,063$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7114147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c1,057$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.3468942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…d7f1backed No70c1,010$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.03683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7501…2452backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2907147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x65d2…84e1backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked Yes29c999.95$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.999358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c998.69$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.582,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c944$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.081,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes30c844.51$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.354050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked No78c833.5$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.54047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No69c829$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9972249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed No70c811.93$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.932060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No70c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes22c800$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17713834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No68c734.93$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.571,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes30c731.08$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.926229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25a7…8b7cbacked No72c717.81$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No70c716.2$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8612448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.235364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e48…9c5fbacked Yes31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-49.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes31c671$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0114456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x357f…efffbacked Yes31c650$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No69c621.19$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5730739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.163542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Yes29c596.96$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9910051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed No69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.714146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed No69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.714936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked Yes30c528.06$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.429446.8%44 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No70c525.67$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0218551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes30c508.12$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.447557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145250%0 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa98a…1902backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454139%16 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c467.14$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.141,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7810757%61 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed No70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.577170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked No71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.547659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1368349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7886…30b3backed No70c392.76$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No69c391.52$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.231053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f7e…a411backed Yes21c376.86$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Yes27c372.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.614949%24 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked No69c359.16$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.341070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes12c353.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9625530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b22…8cd6backed No70c350$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81e3…f2c9backed No70c350$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No70c350$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2515350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceef…9994backed No70c336.68$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.68650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed No68c329.16$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.337844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59c4…2611backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-3.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.