TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa98a…1902

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$198
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.32
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.02
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$624
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$565.5
Wizards vs. Celticsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$143
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.7
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+735.9%+$704.3
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$87.5
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$67.5
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$216
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$84
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$88.5
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$65
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$99.75
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+354.5%+$234
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$66.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$87.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.