CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06b9ca38f6b28e7fb3b60c037be1e89dda7a54de279cdc33bea1be29d95f84e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,940,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,979,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,940,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 834 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 452,735$83,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,884.82 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 279,659$77,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,711.6 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 149,998$38,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,999.47 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Vitality | 77c | 114,647$88,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,171.86 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 86,058$23,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,235.66 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Vitality | 72c | 81,690$58,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,873.3 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Vitality | 74c | 79,841$59,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,758.64 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Vitality | 73c | 68,468$49,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,486.24 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Vitality | 75c | 67,685$50,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,056.29 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Vitality | 73c | 40,000$29,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 39,999$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.66 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Vitality | 77c | 37,177$28,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,490.18 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 35,421$9,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,209.41 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 29,099$7,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,565.87 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Vitality | 75c | 27,961$20,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,072.22 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 24,999$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.83 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Vitality | 74c | 21,930$16,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,701.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 21,301$5,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,751.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 21,119$5,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,884.6 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Vitality | 74c | 20,239$14,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,262.21 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Vitality | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Vitality | 74c | 20,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Vitality | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.97 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed2…d00bbacked Vitality | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.97 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Vitality | 73c | 19,166$13,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.81 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Vitality | 74c | 18,873$13,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,906.86 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 15,306$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,983.69 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Vitality | 73c | 14,361$10,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.5 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 14,337$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.34 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Vitality | 74c | 13,476$9,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.72 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 13,220$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.37 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Vitality | 75c | 12,216$9,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.51 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Vitality | 73c | 11,117$8,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.47 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 11,078$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.32 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 10,784$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.66 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Vitality | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…dc24backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Vitality | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.96 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 9,776$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.55 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Vitality | 74c | 9,611$7,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 9,562$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.74 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 9,173$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.72 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 8,439$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.19 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked Vitality | 73c | 8,319$6,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.66 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Vitality | 73c | 7,659$5,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 7,083$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.4 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 7,083$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.4 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Vitality | 74c | 6,635$4,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.13 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Vitality | 75c | 6,567$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.67 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 6,189$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.73 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 5,811$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.68 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Vitality | 73c | 5,800$4,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…4df0backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 5,790$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 5,337$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.99 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Vitality | 73c | 5,200$3,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 5,132$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.9 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Vitality | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Vitality | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 74c | 4,922$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.72 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 4,902$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.39 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 4,778$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.49 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Vitality | 74c | 4,523$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.96 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 4,500$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 4,331$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.95 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…1c4bbacked Vitality | 74c | 4,156$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Vitality | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed Vitality | 74c | 3,991$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.61 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Vitality | 74c | 3,991$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Vitality | 74c | 3,991$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.61 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 3,987$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.63 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Vitality | 75c | 3,940$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 3,842$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.79 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 3,825$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.7 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Vitality | 73c | 3,770$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.9 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 3,737$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.07 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 3,711$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 3,706$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.24 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Vitality | 74c | 3,558$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.26 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 3,541$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.2 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Vitality | 74c | 3,326$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.68 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 3,324$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Vitality | 75c | 3,300$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.37 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 3,221$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.77 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 3,060$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.16 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 3,056$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.62 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Vitality | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 2,970$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.14 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Vitality | 74c | 2,934$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.95 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Vitality | 74c | 2,927$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.04 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 2,861$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.37 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vitality | 75c | 2,860$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 2,842$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.99 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 2,836$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.26 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Natus Vincere | 7c | 2,802$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 2,715$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.14 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…7060backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 2,674$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Vitality | 74c | 2,663$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.43 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.