CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5a1ecda348d05bb57a58d84df9c800c220936ae43af61af23ab893780c2e0e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $575,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Vitality | 48c | 96,053$46,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,535.37 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 34,103$17,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,392.69 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 20,026$10,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,613.78 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 19,998$10,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,598.8 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 19,219$4,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,773.32 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 74c | 19,027$14,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,892.41 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 18,571$9,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,456.85 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Vitality | 46c | 15,334$7,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,279.32 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.93 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 12,844$7,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,063.98 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Vitality | 46c | 10,692$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,757.25 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 9,436$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.69 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 9,243$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.13 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Vitality | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124.95 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 6,950$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612.83 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Vitality | 47c | 6,692$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.02 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Vitality | 47c | 5,809$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 5,686$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.49 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 5,089$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.33 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Vitality | 59c | 4,592$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.35 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Vitality | 47c | 4,093$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,774$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.02 | 189 | 43.9%83 W · 106 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Vitality | 64c | 3,413$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.84 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Vitality | 47c | 3,314$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.25 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Vitality | 45c | 3,255$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.25 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,115$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.58 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Vitality | 47c | 3,001$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.75 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Vitality | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,996$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.98 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Vitality | 46c | 2,909$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.73 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,694$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.18 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Vitality | 47c | 2,566$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.23 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Vitality | 76c | 2,564$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.94 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,235$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.62 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,161$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.88 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…39d8backed Vitality | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.88 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Vitality | 45c | 2,071$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vitality | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.8 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Vitality | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.89 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality | 56c | 1,999$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.49 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 47c | 1,936$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.29 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Vitality | 77c | 1,916$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.49 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,800$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.99 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,799$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.44 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,751$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.36 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Vitality | 53c | 1,729$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.77 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,721$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.71 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,692$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.67 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Vitality | 46c | 1,572$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.07 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Vitality | 59c | 1,542$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.22 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Vitality | 59c | 1,540$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.54 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,458$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.96 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,358$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.84 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Vitality | 46c | 1,339$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.19 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,327$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.75 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,300$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Vitality | 68c | 1,293$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.97 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,285$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.89 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,263$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.57 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,227$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.07 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c19…6303backed Vitality | 48c | 1,193$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.27 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…efcabacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,187$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Vitality | 44c | 1,183$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.67 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Vitality | 45c | 1,160$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.89 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed Vitality | 46c | 1,130$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.33 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Vitality | 43c | 1,092$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.25 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,056$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.3 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,050$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.37 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95c…7913backed Vitality | 70c | 1,041$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Vitality | 46c | 1,037$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Vitality | 57c | 1,032$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.51 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Vitality | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Vitality | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Vitality | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.14 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 986.31$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.47 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 941.23$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 838.66$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 788.85$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.72 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 786.94$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Vitality | 45c | 736.68$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.87 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Vitality | 47c | 736.64$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.42 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Vitality | 44c | 721.82$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.22 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 680.68$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.57 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 672.9$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.37 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 671.93$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.84 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…797abacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 648.76$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.36 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Vitality | 44c | 596.17$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.89 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…40cfbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 588.73$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 582.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Vitality | 71c | 580.35$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c4a6backed Vitality | 59c | 573.52$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Vitality | 53c | 567.73$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.81 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 564$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Vitality | 69c | 559.57$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.