TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2266…138a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Olympics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT6432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$45.83
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$788.22
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$115.86
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.21
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$469.2
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+161.3%+$585.95
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.88
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,804.66
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$4,750.8
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,480.74
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.39
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,113.67
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,984Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,984.33
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,108.1
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,793Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,793.15
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.55
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,317Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$8,380.63
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,077Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,342.38
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,047.88
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,198.74
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$774.26
LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$309
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT4139%16 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.8
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$97.9
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.89
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.3
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,154.8
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+239%+$228.42
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$641.93
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,216.58
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,296.53
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.5
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$58.75
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.13
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,472.44
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,086.66
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+118%+$868.01
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,943.99
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,411Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,590.75
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$5,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,632.13
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.9
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$257.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$377.3
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+195.1%+$472.08
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.04
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.71
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.09
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$562.35
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.84
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.42
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$646
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$439.61
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,704Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$662.48
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,361
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.03
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+264.2%+$1,595.99
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,233.91
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+246.3%+$1,647.23
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$514
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$7,039.99
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,021
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+159.1%+$2,120.26
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$518.58
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$249.6
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$153.54
Valorant: SaD Esports vs QoR (BO5) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$142.5
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3)backed Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$42
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,939.79
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$3,669.36
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$460.8
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,422.48
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+138.1%+$118.89
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$16.01
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$164.62
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+174.3%+$168
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$117.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$219.73
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.7
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$61.5
Big Game: Coin Toss Team Winnerbacked NE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$45.82
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$11.4
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$22.38
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$199.89
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$61.92
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.44
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+163.2%+$201.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+278.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+278.7%+$164.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$165.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Arnaldibacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.