TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Mavericks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,152,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,253,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,152,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Kings36c82,834$29,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,820.3340446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Mavericks64c70,000$44,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,199.9812147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings35c60,000$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,999.9951844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks56c54,674$30,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,820.7559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x166a…e675backed Mavericks39c50,905$20,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,859.142839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings56c37,061$20,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,868.595,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Kings68c36,535$24,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,851.565139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks64c35,215$22,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,804.924,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Kings40c31,606$12,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,663.571,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks52c31,479$16,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,002.381,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Kings36c31,342$11,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,283.2716841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks58c30,000$17,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,699.981,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings57c23,863$13,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,593.131,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Kings52c23,687$12,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,317.2559653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Mavericks65c20,615$13,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,215.381,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d0…1757backed Mavericks50c19,911$9,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,020.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings36c17,691$6,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,330.772,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mavericks64c17,030$10,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,091.2672450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Mavericks64c16,940$10,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,039.61,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Kings46c15,978$7,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,414.7325925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks57c15,488$8,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,631.421,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Kings37c15,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,55014243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Mavericks63c15,000$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,549.9715247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Mavericks31c14,312$4,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,943.0510947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings53c14,121$7,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,481.854,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Mavericks51c13,288$6,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,511.3576054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Mavericks63c13,000$8,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,759.9829748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd990…4866backed Kings37c12,979$4,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,802.391050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Kings46c12,565$5,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7961,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed Kings0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Kings36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kings49c9,589$4,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,672.848845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks46c9,522$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,172.373,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Mavericks46c9,427$4,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,087.9727865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings40c9,170$3,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,665.262,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings42c8,341$3,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,508.792,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Mavericks53c8,293$4,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,878.171957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Mavericks55c8,271$4,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,736.2439744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Mavericks50c8,090$4,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,013.578445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Mavericks66c8,000$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.9312657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Kings55c7,933$4,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,364.3716657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Kings36c7,921$2,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.5828439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Kings50c7,570$3,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,772.862650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Kings3c7,374$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7514533.1%48 W · 97 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Kings35c7,220$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.0321538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Mavericks63c7,131$4,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.299857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings33c7,079$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.2347028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings43c7,029$3,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,043.111,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Kings44c7,020$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,088.624261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Mavericks63c7,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.9737557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6c…6305backed Kings34c6,968$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.247941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Mavericks49c6,864$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,484.0122449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Mavericks44c6,860$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,809.1311750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Kings37c6,835$2,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,528.934042.5%17 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Mavericks54c6,535$3,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,021.914054.3%76 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks65c6,243$4,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.749,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Mavericks59c6,043$3,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.6276850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Kings78c6,014$4,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,669.086552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Mavericks43c6,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.9844337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Mavericks39c5,925$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,604.4850241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Kings52c5,800$3,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,015.9921944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Kings56c5,772$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,220.28560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Mavericks49c5,635$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.717358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Kings33c5,555$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.0536741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks57c5,547$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.511,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Kings36c5,064$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82316251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings44c5,036$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.411,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Kings42c5,027$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.3812143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Mavericks44c5,000$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.2738434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Mavericks67c5,000$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.324761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Mavericks34c5,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30013625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ee…62a4backed Mavericks37c4,944$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.382222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks65c4,834$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.042,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…ea4abacked Mavericks49c4,738$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.541872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+59.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Kings45c4,589$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04619136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Mavericks42c4,500$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.8442640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Kings36c4,500$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Mavericks37c4,434$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,798.089424.5%23 W · 71 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Kings35c4,341$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.237745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Mavericks64c4,332$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.526357.1%36 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe758…c5afbacked Mavericks42c4,188$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.382462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Kings59c4,154$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.0848739.8%194 W · 293 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6c…d841backed Mavericks54c4,130$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Mavericks71c4,099$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.922458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Mavericks49c4,007$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.144729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Mavericks50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00011242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…800dbacked Mavericks64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Kings2c4,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb06…8166backed Kings37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Kings35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9818142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Mavericks51c3,942$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.2976746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Kings50c3,876$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.3761939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Kings47c3,824$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.8522542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Mavericks58c3,657$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.236241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Mavericks57c3,636$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.269953.5%53 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b7…dbdabacked Mavericks56c3,618$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.941127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick57cpaid-54.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks65c3,581$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.6286641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Mavericks58c3,447$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.5416335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Mavericks55c3,373$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.6529037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Kings48c3,258$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.7189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.