NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde1c52f64d7b1a6fc2722966f25d23f63cb481b5133a764352a290fca3d0991b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 10,613$5,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.95 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 8,401$4,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,311.43 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 4,650$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 3,786$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 51c | 1,490$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.21 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 47c | 1,124$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.75 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 53c | 1,106$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Under | 50c | 1,058$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.19 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 50c | 982$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 50c | 963$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.5 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 52c | 907.02$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.65 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 51c | 883$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.9 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 768$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 47c | 525.5$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.52 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 299.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 52c | 205.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Under | 49c | 136.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…d1a9backed Over | 52c | 134$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 119.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…1872backed Over | 48c | 106.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 48c | 102.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 144 | 20.1%29 W · 115 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Under | 40c | 81.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Under | 50c | 80.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…11edbacked Over | 50c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…dc60backed Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0854…fb45backed Over | 50c | 60.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 48c | 54.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 49c | 41.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Under | 52c | 40.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…dbbbbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681c…ad15backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 34.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 29.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 47c | 29.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 52c | 28.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 54c | 22.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 61c | 16.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Kings won
- 1H Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Kings won
- Mavericks vs. KingsMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Mavericks vs. Kings: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Kings won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.