TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7760…21f0backed Under47c7,900$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,224.9946145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Under49c4,551$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.1516641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under53c3,767$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.2912855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c3,745$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.894,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c3,620$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.811,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c3,465$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over54c3,140$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.4943453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c2,593$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over52c2,404$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2504456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over53c2,329$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.352,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c2,299$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.252,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c2,070$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.083,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Under46c1,943$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.44158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over51c1,350$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.535749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c1,270$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.7148546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over51c1,202$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.0217744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over53c1,121$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.682,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over54c972$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.882,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over51c960$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.61,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Over55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over51c674.83$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.1622055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Over55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under50c538.74$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24561740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over51c433.67$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.512,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c419.15$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.582,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c406.1$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.262,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c398$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.982,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over52c381.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under51c325.49$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.491,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Under47c319.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.741742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c298.19$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over53c269.84$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.013,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Over53c233$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.496541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c184$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.525,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over53c184$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.522,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Under50c150.02$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0114647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Under77c140$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.66752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0085…77cbbacked Over41c135$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x830e…1f8fbacked Over16c122.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Over53c114$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.428759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under52c102.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0423250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked Over16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under52c92.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3188845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under57c84.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.71,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under75c82.37$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6463745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5063…66dbbacked Under51c81$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f8…d47abacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Over54c79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.667557.3%43 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over50c73.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9610234.3%35 W · 67 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under50c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Over54c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.75455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x624d…50ddbacked Under51c52.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x797f…d774backed Under49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.540146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed Under46c49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.464057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6098…d746backed Under47c49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.972814.3%4 W · 24 L-9.8wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-72.9%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked Under47c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.443565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over50c45.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.562,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x291e…4b6abacked Under48c43.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.752962.1%18 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+48.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9d10…fc1abacked Over50c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under72c42.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.81,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6711854.2%64 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.229943.4%43 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under73c38.05$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.381,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb7…8745backed Under47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.142556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea55…7ed0backed Over50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed Under47c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.613647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…a3d3backed Over50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over50c35.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.542,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Under47c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.024660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Under47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.964850%24 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Under47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.435164.7%33 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over53c30.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1654854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf406…c9bfbacked Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158046.3%37 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c29.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.783,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x152c…3b50backed Under47c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.842962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c27.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.744,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under50c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.57353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over54c26.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1250648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over54c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0471245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Over52c24.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.515841.1%65 W · 93 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Over52c22.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.923452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over53c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1342143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.