TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Mavericks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,059
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,059 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777d…5143backed Kings53c37,618$19,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,701.919754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Kings52c28,607$14,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,731.5716841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks47c24,156$11,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,361.552,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Mavericks48c20,479$9,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,829.831,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Mavericks47c10,408$4,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,911.7629748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks50c9,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Mavericks49c8,500$4,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,14527251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Kings54c7,341$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.0723747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings50c6,054$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,028.013,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Mavericks48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8806454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Mavericks51c4,880$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks40c4,123$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Kings51c4,059$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.792343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Mavericks46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Mavericks47c3,494$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.244734%16 W · 31 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings51c3,449$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.021,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks46c3,281$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.734,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Mavericks49c3,231$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.0216339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Kings52c2,716$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.6617344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks47c2,686$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.352,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings52c2,609$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.322,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Kings53c2,537$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.8641954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings49c2,465$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Kings53c2,157$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.7924051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Kings50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Mavericks48c1,658$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Kings53c1,577$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.3635447.7%169 W · 185 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Mavericks46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69034425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kings53c1,416$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.2665339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Kings58c1,400$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.8991050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Kings54c1,208$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.5518140.3%73 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Mavericks51c1,022$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Kings52c1,003$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.5851651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Kings49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Kings57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Mavericks46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings50c962.86$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4836,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks49c940$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.922,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks43c788$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.843,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Kings51c708.16$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Kings49c699.97$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.9961747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Mavericks47c682$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.541,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks47c638$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.862,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Kings53c630.96$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9649852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Mavericks50c610.5$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.2523250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Mavericks47c610$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.78541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Kings52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9221852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Kings52c575.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.5736143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kings50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Mavericks47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23527546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Mavericks47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23523938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Kings50c429.9$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.952,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Mavericks28c390.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6512324.4%30 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Kings53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3640243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Kings76c333$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4324452.5%128 W · 116 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Kings53c330.19$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1915052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed Mavericks47c308.44$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.074148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Mavericks47c240$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.837850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x497a…883fbacked Mavericks47c227.66$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-62.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings72c225.64$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.072,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Kings53c206.82$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8216740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Mavericks49c206.48$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.711,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Mavericks39c204.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843a…2687backed Mavericks49c202.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9876…e0cabacked Mavericks48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-58.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1cd0…4516backed Kings50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa014…00c8backed Mavericks48c199.44$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.731353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Kings52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.678652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mavericks22c184$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.482,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked Kings53c180.7$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.933360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+36.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Mavericks50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Mavericks51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Mavericks13c150.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2231144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6d…8a40backed Mavericks49c134.22$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.771850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10e…f4e2backed Kings52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Mavericks48c121.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.211840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab8…437abacked Kings51c117$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings70c113.75$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.151,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Kings51c111$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.394645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…9297backed Mavericks48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x708a…1f12backed Mavericks48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Kings56c100.54$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5490957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Mavericks47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99af…fedcbacked Mavericks50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Mavericks49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4974547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…089abacked Mavericks52c97.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509340.9%38 W · 55 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Kings52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1551651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Kings55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb04a…301dbacked Mavericks38c88.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.431668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+48.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks22c88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.361,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Kings59c87.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.91,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Mavericks48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Mavericks48c81.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1619242.7%82 W · 110 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Mavericks45c80.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.411540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Mavericks49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.442146.1%194 W · 227 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Kings52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9219548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Kings53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4715648.7%76 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Mavericks47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Kings52c73.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0868542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.