NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf987f05d0a063833b60ff55fe989dc8425f996a47032b6a8eb6f67afbbca1057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 37c | 67,310$24,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,569.84 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 64c | 57,591$36,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,781.03 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 63c | 8,219$5,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.83 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 7,571$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.31 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 35c | 5,108$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Over | 57c | 3,602$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.06 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,939$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 962.08$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 766.85$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 57c | 555.76$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.19 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 38c | 532.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.69 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 481.62$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Under | 32c | 450$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…a714backed Over | 61c | 330.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 70c | 294.43$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 62c | 270$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.68 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…cbf8backed Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…6817backed Under | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 84 | 26.2%22 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 39c | 199.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 48c | 184.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 62c | 163.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 65c | 154.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 44c | 136$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked Under | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…9141backed Over | 62c | 128.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Over | 58c | 127$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 49c | 119.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…3d6ebacked Over | 61c | 114$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 56c | 104.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 67c | 89.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Over | 61c | 82.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 38c | 79.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Over | 63c | 79.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Over | 63c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…c9bfbacked Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed Under | 71c | 66.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…fbadbacked Under | 40c | 59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 58.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 28c | 55.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…30aabacked Under | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 43c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Over | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0eb3backed Over | 47c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…69ccbacked Under | 69c | 49.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Under | 66c | 47.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc888…3566backed Under | 42c | 46.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Over | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 73c | 38.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 58c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…71e1backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e6…d3eebacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Under | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Under | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Under | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 46c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…9cf3backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 64c | 22.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 59c | 22.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 53c | 21.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 60c | 21.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Over | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54f…bf86backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…1490backed Over | 61c | 16.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…7a49backed Under | 74c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Kings won
- 1H Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Kings won
- Mavericks vs. KingsMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Mavericks vs. Kings: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Kings won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.