TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Mavericks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,255 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Kings50c150,523$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,522.5816846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks50c118,479$59,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,239.611,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Mavericks52c50,000$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,00017250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Kings48c45,497$21,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,658.2416841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Mavericks50c12,000$6,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,059.9938434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks50c11,068$5,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,534.123,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Mavericks50c9,726$4,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,902.9619560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings51c7,563$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,703.448,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Kings49c7,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.972759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Kings50c6,011$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.17758.4%45 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks51c5,790$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.814,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings49c5,427$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.954,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Kings48c4,439$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.436546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Kings50c3,467$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.0415549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Mavericks53c3,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58027546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Mavericks53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59016339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Mavericks51c2,801$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.5137557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Mavericks52c2,525$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.9539051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…55b3backed Kings49c2,403$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.533548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks52c2,389$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.162,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Kings70c2,333$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.96357.1%36 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks51c2,303$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.6974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Mavericks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Mavericks73c1,864$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.7816335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Mavericks54c1,750$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.9749938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks53c1,697$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Mavericks51c1,517$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.8723747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Mavericks50c1,399$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.311060%66 W · 44 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks53c1,368$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.192,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks51c1,200$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6102,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Mavericks52c1,117$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.0235749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings43c991.99$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.433,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Kings50c983.22$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.617447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Kings49c738.78$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7823845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Kings48c713$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.7634654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Mavericks51c555$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.0523630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed Mavericks40c495.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006631.8%21 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Kings50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20068542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Kings8c400$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3679515.8%15 W · 80 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Mavericks52c386.58$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0257250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Mavericks51c378$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7821749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Kings9c350$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32013228.8%38 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Mavericks51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15334447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings48c286$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x346d…828fbacked Mavericks10c227.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings49c218.4$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1113,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Mavericks51c209$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5951753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Kings48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.339844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Mavericks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Mavericks53c190.56$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Kings50c188.51$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Mavericks27c182$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.343638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Mavericks31c175.8$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.517949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x130c…782cbacked Mavericks21c169.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4914420.1%29 W · 115 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Mavericks50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Mavericks19c131.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.558512.9%11 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52bb…2b47backed Mavericks54c129$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.66862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Mavericks52c113.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2219147.1%90 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf46…a799backed Mavericks52c113.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1611151.4%57 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Kings10c108.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.931587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b16…9960backed Mavericks52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe80a…0bcebacked Kings72c104.49$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed Kings47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5324846.8%116 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2230…23febacked Mavericks41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4150%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Kings46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked Mavericks52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x552e…a856backed Kings63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374650%23 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Kings47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5350653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcecc…affebacked Mavericks50c99.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.083647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Mavericks53c98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.941,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Mavericks52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Mavericks52c96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.923259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Mavericks54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Mavericks52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.687950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Mavericks53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef6…582dbacked Mavericks15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe68…ee51backed Kings47c67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9737…581fbacked Kings48c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Mavericks53c60.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3232450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Mavericks50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.121,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Mavericks51c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5862347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0848…8059backed Mavericks45c57.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Kings71c57.72$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8288845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa57…1e6bbacked Mavericks55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Kings46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3516945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Mavericks53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.555316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Mavericks54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7566143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Kings51c49.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.389458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Kings47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5521756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed1b…4045backed Kings49c40.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.836048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Mavericks52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.813953.2%74 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x390c…e88ebacked Kings78c34.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.652365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Mavericks34c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8850648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Mavericks52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.614953%79 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Mavericks51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524253.3%129 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Kings46c29.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.72,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Mavericks54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Kings48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.524360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Kings46c25.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.950948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.