TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x390c…e88e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9.13
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.56
Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.46
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$24.37
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36.48
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$23.68
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$26.35
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+28.9%+$7.65
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$47.14
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$33.48
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$38.47
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$19.31
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.7%+$8.3
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$72.56
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20.3
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.26
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3)backed Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30.13
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$74.9
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Washington (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+79%+$17.38
Counter-Strike: Voca vs SkinRave (BO3)backed SkinRave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs BOSS (BO3)backed BOSS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs BOSS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs WOPA Esport (BO3)backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+42.4%+$16.97
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed AaB esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3)backed Truck Drivers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: ChickenBurger vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3)backed ChickenBurger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$26.96
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+26%+$46.41
Counter-Strike: NRG vs 9INE (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$50.23
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Prestige (BO3)backed megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$53.49
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ChickenBurger (BO3)backed megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34.32
Counter-Strike: DEPO vs Omega (BO3)backed Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.67
All 19 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+37%+$11.79
Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis (BO5)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25%+$4.58
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Aurora (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.69
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$10.23
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yangon Galacticos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$42.4
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+60.5%+$15.12
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys (BO3)backed Kukuys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Tearlaments - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.84
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyukbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$10.21
Adelaide International, Qualification: Andrea Vavassori vs Raphael Collignonbacked Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$16.8
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$18.79
Hobart International, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$63
ASB Classic, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+64.5%+$19.33
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$57.28
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$43.89
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.91
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+60.8%+$14.16
Oregon State Beavers vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Oregon State Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$27.27
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$162.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$14.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+53.8%+$5.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.5%+$20.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)backed Shrewsbury Town FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.