NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68184f4ba400ae5ce481a8070fef67fa701b0aa1bc7a9a575935400a34ab5a24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $608,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $609,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $608,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 512,600$260,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260,134.92 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 250,000$123,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,500 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 49c | 210,732$103,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,473.19 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 51c | 15,450$7,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,879.5 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 10,764$5,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,382 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 51c | 10,208$5,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,206.24 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.38 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…a083backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 51c | 9,995$5,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.45 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 8,524$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,347.35 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…b5c5backed Under | 50c | 7,134$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 7,093$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 49c | 4,400$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 49c | 4,235$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 2,096$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.73 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 2,053$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.48 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 9c | 1,292$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 50c | 1,094$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.12 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 1,038$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.79 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,009$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 51c | 900$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 799.98$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 632.62$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.33 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 522$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.83 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 50c | 499$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Under | 51c | 443.33$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 51c | 420.71$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.08 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 54c | 370.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.97 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 49c | 348.86$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 52c | 332.69$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 52c | 244.23$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.23 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…6abdbacked Under | 77c | 220.49$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Under | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 52c | 186.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 178$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…f577backed Under | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked Under | 49c | 144.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 51c | 141.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…1e89backed Over | 50c | 137$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 135.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Under | 80c | 132.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…adb6backed Under | 52c | 130.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 51c | 125.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf66…98edbacked Under | 52c | 112.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Under | 52c | 109.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48b…33afbacked Over | 49c | 106.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1271…a720backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…7d74backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Under | 50c | 99.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…4282backed Under | 52c | 92.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 49c | 77.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614f…114dbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 335 | 47.2%158 W · 177 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Under | 51c | 72.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…57c8backed Under | 52c | 71.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…57bdbacked Over | 50c | 65.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Over | 49c | 62.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefda…fadcbacked Over | 52c | 59.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…95b7backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5this page
- Rockets vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.