NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e02f8c9a5811e65049eb5327d33ca5b32ffac7d8cce25fbbb77e3bf4a02d6cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 4,442$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.68 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 54c | 4,439$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.14 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 4c | 1,360$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 524.73$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 379.09$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 337$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.48 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 6c | 213.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 193.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed Over | 55c | 184.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Over | 56c | 154$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 56c | 153.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820f…0ddcbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Over | 56c | 99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 68c | 97.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Over | 56c | 85.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 47c | 79.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…8071backed Under | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 55c | 45.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Under | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Under | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…99ecbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Under | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 55c | 28.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 26.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Under | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5this page
- Rockets vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.