NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d3ac64f9d0a508ae2b5d4465b85916723d238895e2ed32a9919b65c136574ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Rockets, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 55c | 15,874$8,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,730.77 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 9,009$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,979.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 45c | 3,712$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 3,614$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.43 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 3,405$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.45 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,066$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.52 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 3,045$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.66 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Rockets | 57c | 2,462$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,760$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.8 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,485$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.29 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 54c | 1,114$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Rockets | 56c | 1,003$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.95 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 51c | 864.77$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets | 56c | 839.28$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 53c | 663.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.12 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Rockets | 52c | 550$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 470.23$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.03 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 370.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.46 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 285$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 210$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rockets | 55c | 183.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Rockets | 55c | 146$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…dedebacked Rockets | 52c | 109.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 106.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Rockets | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Rockets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Rockets | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Rockets | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Rockets | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Rockets | 55c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Rockets | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 60.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Rockets | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Rockets | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Rockets | 55c | 50.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 47.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Rockets | 63c | 45.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Rockets | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Rockets | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Rockets | 51c | 39.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 39.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 37.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 26.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 25.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Rockets | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Rockets | 67c | 23.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)this page
- Rockets vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.