NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x001fa245db280f871c006aff1d252a9e8eeb046b40e1c80a7a1f0505bc2e3552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 53c | 6,834$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,622.04 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 5,062$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.71 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 4,469$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.62 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 3,211$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 52c | 1,473$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.88 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 6c | 997.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 996$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 909.47$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.11 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 595$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.35 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 570$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 51c | 511.29$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.76 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 397.84$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 170.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 73c | 100.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Over | 65c | 99.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 95.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 48c | 81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Over | 53c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 76.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Under | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 68.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Over | 54c | 67.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 26c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 57c | 50.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 35c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 49c | 39.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 29c | 39.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 39c | 34.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 73c | 30.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 48c | 30.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 47c | 26.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 54c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Under | 80c | 20.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 54c | 20.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5this page
- Rockets vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.