TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdacd…a083

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25,468.2
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$8,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$8,764.29
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$4,648.64
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$3,004.89
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$495
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$7,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$7,536.2
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,325Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+203%+$2,690.71
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$9,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$9,510.69
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11,412Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7,930.45
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.4%+$176.92
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,914Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$3,624.59
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,104.4
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,552.98
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$7,446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$7,445.95
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+138.1%+$5,800
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,449.68
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,579Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+233.6%+$8,361.53
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.48
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$374.12
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,628Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+185.7%+$8,595.76
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,516.35
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$5,648.06
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$373.71
LoL: LNG Esports vs Oh My God (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,826Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+58.8%+$3,424
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,098Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+60%+$6,663.56
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+170.3%+$12,599.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,670Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$5,329.9
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,158.26
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$5,099.85
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,320
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,060Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+94.2%+$1,940
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$5,199.98
Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$5,100
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$3,799.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$77.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,123.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$6,200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.