TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$788,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$788,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c737,178$359,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377,367.7520354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under51c350,058$178,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178,479.4538748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,0001,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c74,980$38,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,689.681,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under51c58,308$29,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,912.3556152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c39,179$20,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,339.862,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c23,197$12,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,034.182,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c22,584$11,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,694.111,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under53c10,384$5,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,460.893953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,100.053560%21 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdacd…a083backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,16030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under1c4,615$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.285265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c4,420$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.4262951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c2,881$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under52c2,857$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.791,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under52c2,700$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.251,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under51c2,350$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.58845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under52c2,272$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.2617057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under57c2,263$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.991540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under52c2,103$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.7616241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under53c1,583$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.926656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78017057.1%97 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over49c1,486$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.191,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under51c1,250$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Under54c1,000$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.042045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c764.71$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39051452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Under53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37153337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Under48c672.5$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.813747.4%65 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under50c630$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810438.5%40 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under43c550$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.222,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e15…53fabacked Under51c476.47$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under54c453.87$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24418548.1%89 W · 96 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under51c444$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4449546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Over58c415.08$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.285648.2%27 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016056.3%90 W · 70 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over50c343.53$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.371,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over57c301.81$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.812147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15375946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505550.9%28 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Under53c288.68$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1535352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under52c280.65$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.846450%32 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under6c250$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51076.5%7 W · 100 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over49c242.2$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6315238.8%59 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under51c242.02$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6324442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf107…b9babacked Under46c205.26$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5510439.4%41 W · 63 L-10.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10230952.4%162 W · 147 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under54c199.89$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9420552.2%107 W · 98 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under53c187.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.512250%61 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over64c185.32$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8244551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under40c165.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5949045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under52c160$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.712943.4%56 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Under53c159.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.64348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under52c140$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.82454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Under49c130$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.47055.7%39 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under52c112.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.231,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over47c104$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1247944.7%214 W · 265 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6d7…f810backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under53c99.43$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538949.4%44 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under53c96.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5149053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under52c95.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.242,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028550.2%143 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023158%134 W · 97 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under53c89.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2116443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under52c87.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3335248%169 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234c…b85fbacked Under53c86.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.661233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under52c84.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4815647.4%74 W · 82 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under52c84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4716048.1%77 W · 83 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under54c83.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Under52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.66947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under53c79.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.056149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Under63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over50c70.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2978651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5c…6c0fbacked Over49c66.65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a10…9977backed Under53c63.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.551225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20c8…6354backed Under53c61.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.741442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under52c56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9913145.8%60 W · 71 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under52c56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9913346.6%62 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d41…98a4backed Under45c51.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.512735.4%45 W · 82 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over67c49.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.338368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x74a7…69e4backed Under53c48.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd995…9bcbbacked Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254334.9%15 W · 28 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb378…ce53backed Under54c46.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.75850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under52c45.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7634040.3%137 W · 203 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed1…efcbbacked Under58c41.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242556%14 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Over48c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.237943%34 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over54c40.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.611,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.859852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fbc…5207backed Under51c39.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed Under53c38.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.222356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.