NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d9a3e79ff52da17c571fcc0de9cfb5b11684261715f6876cc4c3976f5f2092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $788,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $788,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 737,178$359,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377,367.75 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 350,058$178,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178,479.45 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 74,980$38,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,689.68 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 58,308$29,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,912.35 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 39,179$20,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,339.86 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 23,197$12,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,034.18 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 22,584$11,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,694.11 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 10,384$5,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460.8 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.05 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…a083backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 1c | 4,615$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 4,420$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.42 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 2,881$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.2 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 52c | 2,857$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.79 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 2,700$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.25 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 51c | 2,350$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.5 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 52c | 2,272$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.26 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 57c | 2,263$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 52c | 2,103$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.76 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 53c | 1,583$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.92 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 1,486$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.19 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 51c | 1,250$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 54c | 1,000$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 51c | 764.71$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Under | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 48c | 672.5$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 50c | 630$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 43c | 550$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…53fabacked Under | 51c | 476.47$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 54c | 453.87$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 51c | 444$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Over | 58c | 415.08$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.28 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 343.53$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.37 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 57c | 301.81$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 53c | 288.68$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 52c | 280.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 49c | 242.2$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 51c | 242.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Under | 46c | 205.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 54c | 199.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 53c | 187.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 64c | 185.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 40c | 165.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 52c | 160$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Under | 53c | 159.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Under | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 52c | 112.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 47c | 104$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 53c | 99.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 95.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 50.2%143 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 53c | 89.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 52c | 87.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Under | 53c | 86.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 52c | 84.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 52c | 84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 53c | 79.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 70.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…6c0fbacked Over | 49c | 66.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a10…9977backed Under | 53c | 63.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Under | 53c | 61.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d41…98a4backed Under | 45c | 51.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 67c | 49.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Under | 53c | 48.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…ce53backed Under | 54c | 46.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 52c | 45.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked Under | 58c | 41.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 48c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 54c | 40.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…5207backed Under | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Under | 53c | 38.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Kings vs. OilersKings won
- Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.