NHL · resolved market
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x067b7abe7de46f4c6ca5e65b6e60f00594d31c8f041d49aa128c782d21db017d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Oilers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 42c | 4,840$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.04 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 58c | 3,393$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.94 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Kings | 60c | 2,504$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.2 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oilers | 40c | 2,276$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.58 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 59c | 1,960$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Oilers | 41c | 1,357$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.37 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 59c | 968.77$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.11 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Oilers | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 58c | 356.36$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.73 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Oilers | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…afbbbacked Kings | 60c | 243.33$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 42c | 228$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Oilers | 37c | 205.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Oilers | 43c | 125.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Kings | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Oilers | 42c | 102.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Kings | 59c | 101.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 55c | 88.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Kings | 57c | 86.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Kings | 59c | 85.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Oilers | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Kings | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Kings | 60c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Oilers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…818ebacked Oilers | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Oilers | 42c | 37.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Oilers | 43c | 32.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Oilers | 41c | 28.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Oilers | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Kings | 58c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kings | 74c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)this page
- Kings vs. OilersKings won
- Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.