TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,211,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,229,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,211,562 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Kings38c280,998$106,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174,218.6110840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Oilers63c267,171$168,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168,260.9715953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Kings37c150,000$55,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,5008354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ae…3020backed Oilers62c133,802$82,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,9571850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings38c90,300$33,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,362.7838748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Oilers62c90,000$55,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,8001,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers62c85,574$52,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,913.031,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Oilers62c81,022$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0003754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1222…2aa7backed Kings45c72,119$32,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,408.644654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Kings37c70,135$26,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,863.1311745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Oilers63c63,500$39,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,869.98657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Oilers62c26,400$16,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,36851452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Oilers54c17,368$9,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,368.9641850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Kings67c15,445$10,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,048.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+40.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9285…749ebacked Oilers63c14,000$8,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8202556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers62c13,515$8,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,358.2947951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Kings38c13,243$5,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,228.8328251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Oilers62c11,662$7,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,230.4439047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8d7…1252backed Kings72c11,200$8,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Kings37c10,811$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,810.818247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Kings40c10,655$4,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,385.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Oilers58c10,437$6,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,020.8910343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Kings39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,10014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Kings40c9,740$3,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,819.1332744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings37c8,390$3,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,285.71,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers61c8,303$5,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,063.471,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Kings36c7,470$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,751.67162%44 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Kings69c7,251$5,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.942161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings37c7,054$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,444.0560337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kings37c7,000$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,41061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Kings40c6,914$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,138.516958%40 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings38c6,500$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0301,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Kings39c6,192$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,775.4933345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Oilers62c6,008$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.883141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Oilers61c5,638$3,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.1626058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Oilers62c5,152$3,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,192.5921755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Oilers48c5,112$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.5699638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Kings37c4,878$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.387358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Kings42c4,767$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.737844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf267…e0e1backed Kings44c4,759$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Oilers12c4,689$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.661,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Oilers49c4,556$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.8134538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Oilers47c4,539$2,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.542,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings37c4,442$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.932,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Kings44c4,200$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.1350049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Oilers61c4,172$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Kings38c4,130$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.64339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Kings39c4,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4408134.6%28 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings37c3,937$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,466.5638738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Kings38c3,840$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.9926946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Kings39c3,756$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.9412941.9%54 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings38c3,601$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.611,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Kings37c3,547$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.92142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Kings47c3,430$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.52470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oilers61c3,358$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.671,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Kings36c3,357$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.764866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Oilers61c3,276$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.5420552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8049…1e6cbacked Oilers44c3,008$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Kings39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83016241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Oilers61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8305152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed Kings25c3,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.992948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Oilers61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.9529651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers58c2,953$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.8489636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x635c…45c6backed Oilers60c2,854$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings43c2,795$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.261,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3107…63b9backed Kings39c2,710$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6631258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Kings74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.74778.7%37 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Oilers3c2,666$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.982174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…ce10backed Kings40c2,524$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings39c2,500$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5351,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Oilers2c2,334$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.871,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings45c2,334$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.872,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Oilers36c2,251$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.6743742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Oilers61c2,243$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.4756649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Kings38c2,222$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.6110850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Oilers6c2,083$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9829412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Oilers63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kings38c1,990$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.7562249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings37c1,861$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.7893953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bef…c839backed Oilers71c1,849$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Kings48c1,793$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.051553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Kings39c1,700$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03724845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings37c1,669$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.091,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Kings79c1,655$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.511950.4%60 W · 59 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Kings37c1,624$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.323551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Kings38c1,558$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.9230551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Kings38c1,514$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.686653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Kings37c1,470$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.281,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Oilers63c1,432$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Kings37c1,400$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88244551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Oilers61c1,389$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.3522852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Kings38c1,380$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.638844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9a…ac98backed Kings39c1,376$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+57.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Oilers1c1,333$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.337450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Kings39c1,283$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.637138%27 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Kings37c1,200$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7523043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oilers54c1,180$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.091,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Kings37c1,099$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.0629926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Oilers48c1,094$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.4860141.9%252 W · 349 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.