NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e98720a7b636761f37b9669d6b83de85916290dfd6f330678a35a7f4cdcc741
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 58c | 3,059$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.72 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 42c | 1,685$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.57 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 42c | 1,007$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.9 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 60c | 602.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.71 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 59c | 500.88$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 40c | 444$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 57c | 324$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 317$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 44c | 277.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 58c | 202.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 58c | 126$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 40c | 110.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1271…a720backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 40c | 99.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 60c | 89.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 74c | 86.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 69c | 75.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Under | 31c | 72.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 42c | 72.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 55.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 31.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 42c | 30.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 42c | 27.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 59c | 26.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 58c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5this page
- Kings vs. OilersKings won
- Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.