Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fae608827cad3844c12be6e4575c9d3135bfbbb6ad3358f271f03baa5a8ab6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $701,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $701,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $701,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 46c | 681,013$312,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312,186.4 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Over | 54c | 420,119$226,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193,254.51 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 54c | 250,000$136,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 44c | 8,304$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.51 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…a083backed Over | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 53c | 5,519$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Over | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 54c | 3,600$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 3,469$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 40c | 1,500$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.99 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 63c | 1,455$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.57 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 56c | 1,060$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.34 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 43c | 980$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.4 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 44c | 711.42$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.02 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 61c | 210$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Over | 64c | 193.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 56c | 99.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 56c | 70.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 44.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 39c | 40.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Over | 64c | 31.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…180ebacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 149.5this page
- Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-8.5)St. Thomas (MN) Tommies won
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Oral Roberts Golden EaglesSt. Thomas (MN) Tommies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.