Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33ec3c35ec10ffb6637c094cc1d8fed5457fca31376294ada4545ada1d1c9e6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gen.Gof Gen.G, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX | 34c | 12,745$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370.97 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Gen.G | 67c | 10,260$6,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,391.12 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 10,010$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.3 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Gen.G | 65c | 7,610$4,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.4 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf2…6d2dbacked Gen.G | 66c | 2,171$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked BNK FEARX | 35c | 856.14$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.24 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Gen.G | 67c | 793.67$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.91 | 520 | 62.3%324 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Gen.G | 65c | 725$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.75 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Gen.G | 64c | 697.66$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.16 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…602cbacked Gen.G | 67c | 600$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 555.54$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.77 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Gen.G | 66c | 483.77$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 461.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.14 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Gen.G | 66c | 454.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Gen.G | 66c | 450$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Gen.G | 66c | 303.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 251.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Gen.G | 73c | 205.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 192.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x029a…503bbacked BNK FEARX | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Gen.G | 65c | 161.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Gen.G | 68c | 154.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Gen.G | 66c | 151.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BNK FEARX | 29c | 108.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked BNK FEARX | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…a083backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 92.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0b…be09backed Gen.G | 71c | 84.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…607bbacked Gen.G | 67c | 73.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Gen.G | 66c | 72.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked BNK FEARX | 45c | 66.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed BNK FEARX | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked BNK FEARX | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Gen.G | 67c | 52.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Gen.G | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Gen.G | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…fefabacked Gen.G | 66c | 45.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BNK FEARX | 34c | 44.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed Gen.G | 67c | 42.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…8645backed Gen.G | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 38.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed BNK FEARX | 34c | 36.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Gen.G | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7464…71cfbacked Gen.G | 70c | 29.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Gen.G | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 394 | 50.3%198 W · 196 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124d…0e49backed Gen.G | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageGen.G won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.