NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4195016305dc0e1b849be8f3a39721c57c9a2c9717b9a050abfd10014de03078
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Texans, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,271,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,001,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,271,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Texans | 37c | 1,066,197$390,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390,713.32 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…0f7bbacked Texans | 37c | 1,012,019$374,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374,447.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Patriots | 63c | 916,823$573,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343,797.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Texans | 39c | 563,228$219,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219,076.39 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Patriots | 63c | 544,974$345,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199,895.65 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Patriots | 62c | 349,999$218,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,999.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Texans | 34c | 257,858$87,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,741.52 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texans | 36c | 245,893$87,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,496.31 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Texans | 36c | 224,996$81,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,998.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…6cf0backed Patriots | 63c | 224,510$141,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,068.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Patriots | 62c | 223,963$139,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,563.77 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Patriots | 70c | 221,598$155,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,847.61 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Texans | 25c | 171,727$43,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,367.73 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Patriots | 63c | 143,974$90,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,270.25 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Patriots | 62c | 140,925$87,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,291.5 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Texans | 37c | 132,630$49,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,490.03 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texans | 30c | 119,093$35,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,525.32 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Texans | 38c | 105,974$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Texans | 0c | 104,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Texans | 36c | 101,040$36,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,384.67 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Texans | 37c | 100,000$37,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Texans | 37c | 99,581$36,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,845.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Patriots | 66c | 86,295$56,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,558.04 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Patriots | 77c | 81,836$63,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,462.33 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Patriots | 61c | 80,000$48,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,200 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texans | 30c | 77,787$22,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,954.41 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…eb01backed Texans | 39c | 71,795$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Texans | 36c | 71,637$26,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,005.81 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Texans | 37c | 64,839$24,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,039.86 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Texans | 36c | 64,136$23,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,371.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texans | 35c | 61,565$21,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,350.54 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Texans | 39c | 60,000$23,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,400 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…04e1backed Texans | 22c | 60,000$13,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,302.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Texans | 29c | 60,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,599.86 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Patriots | 64c | 58,756$37,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,303.68 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Patriots | 64c | 55,555$35,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,999.8 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Texans | 25c | 53,561$13,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,609.98 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Texans | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Texans | 38c | 50,000$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Texans | 36c | 50,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.93 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Texans | 41c | 48,300$19,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,780.98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Texans | 0c | 48,039$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Texans | 16c | 47,303$7,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,751.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Texans | 36c | 47,012$16,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,884.3 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Patriots | 64c | 45,000$28,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,200 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Texans | 37c | 44,043$16,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,296 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Texans | 38c | 39,997$15,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,199.06 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Patriots | 61c | 37,825$23,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,751.66 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Texans | 37c | 37,784$13,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,980 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Texans | 31c | 34,177$10,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,611.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texans | 37c | 33,277$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400.27 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Texans | 39c | 31,965$12,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,466.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Texans | 16c | 30,859$4,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.65 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Patriots | 62c | 30,173$18,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,465.84 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Texans | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Texans | 39c | 30,000$11,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,549.98 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Texans | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.91 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b29…9108backed Texans | 34c | 29,990$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…2d99backed Texans | 0c | 29,460$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Texans | 38c | 28,978$10,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,911.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texans | 36c | 28,763$10,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,479.81 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…9dd4backed Texans | 25c | 28,622$7,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,145.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Texans | 28c | 28,361$7,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,998.08 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Texans | 39c | 28,341$11,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,052.9 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Patriots | 54c | 27,921$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,921.04 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…1ec1backed Texans | 20c | 26,847$5,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,463.16 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Texans | 39c | 25,000$9,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,650 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Patriots | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Texans | 16c | 25,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texans | 38c | 24,716$9,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,392.08 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Patriots | 73c | 23,221$16,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,343.38 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Texans | 1c | 22,885$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…e929backed Texans | 29c | 21,272$6,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,147.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13a…f97fbacked Texans | 37c | 20,430$7,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,559.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…19e1backed Texans | 39c | 20,177$7,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,869.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Texans | 38c | 20,000$7,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,549.99 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Texans | 2c | 19,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Patriots | 67c | 19,533$13,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,532.5 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…b87ebacked Texans | 0c | 18,256$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Patriots | 62c | 18,228$11,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,926.61 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Texans | 0c | 16,883$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Patriots | 55c | 16,232$9,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,225.5 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Texans | 37c | 16,000$5,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,920 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Texans | 30c | 15,745$4,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,648.06 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Patriots | 61c | 15,555$9,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,066.45 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texans | 18c | 15,234$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.55 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Texans | 22c | 15,165$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Texans | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Texans | 14c | 15,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Patriots | 61c | 14,940$9,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.48 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed Texans | 32c | 14,686$4,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,631.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Texans | 6c | 14,282$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.87 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Patriots | 72c | 14,205$10,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.15 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texans | 20c | 13,595$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.25 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Texans | 18c | 13,393$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.23 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Texans | 20c | 13,128$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texans | 36c | 13,110$4,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.79 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Texans | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Patriots | 63c | 12,775$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,775.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texans vs. Patriotsthis page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-1.5)Patriots won
- C.J. Stroud: Rushing Yards O/U 226.5Under won
- Christian Kirk: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Dalton Schultz: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 35.5Under won
- Jayden Higgins: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
- Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Patriots won
- Texans Team Total: O/U 19.5Under won
- Texans vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
- Texans vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 20.5Over won
- Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5Over won
- TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Woody Marks: Rushing Yards O/U 57.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.