NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75ba1d66c68082731636159140f5c14a637b2daf90c5d8836db1b574eb5d2020
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,368,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,482,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,368,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa41…a7a1backed Under | 54c | 280,132$149,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,988.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 47c | 254,275$119,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,684.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 53c | 200,000$105,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,000 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 47c | 137,676$64,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,968.09 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 52c | 130,000$68,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 97,475$50,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,669.24 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…aa08backed Over | 48c | 65,560$31,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,091.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Over | 47c | 63,830$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,829.88 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked Over | 48c | 61,333$29,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,893.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 46c | 58,658$27,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,575.27 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 49c | 49,280$24,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,132.8 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 53c | 42,150$22,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,237.48 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 53c | 42,000$22,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,260 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Over | 48c | 30,373$14,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,794.12 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 27,466$13,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,288.15 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 52c | 26,956$13,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,926.08 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 52c | 25,119$13,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,061.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Over | 47c | 23,533$11,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,437.36 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 19,726$8,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,849.36 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 47c | 17,883$8,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,535.57 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 16,901$7,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,048.33 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 15,820$7,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,755.93 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d89…a2febacked Under | 52c | 15,274$7,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,909.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Over | 47c | 13,079$6,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,931.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 12,343$5,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,560.09 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 47c | 10,871$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761.79 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Over | 47c | 10,681$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,660.93 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 51c | 10,588$5,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,417.52 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 10,042$4,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,353.03 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Under | 10c | 9,981$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.87 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Under | 55c | 9,608$5,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,267.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Over | 46c | 7,982$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.7 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…cbdbbacked Under | 32c | 7,929$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 48c | 7,002$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.47 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 46c | 6,767$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 68c | 6,765$4,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.88 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…5527backed Over | 46c | 6,497$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5148…1c65backed Over | 46c | 6,446$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d71…95a7backed Over | 46c | 6,365$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ff…8389backed Over | 46c | 6,288$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff43…5717backed Over | 46c | 6,251$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca8…fa88backed Over | 46c | 6,116$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…a239backed Over | 46c | 6,110$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5d…2a11backed Over | 46c | 6,099$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…530abacked Under | 54c | 6,083$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba1…54d0backed Over | 46c | 6,042$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7e…dc2cbacked Over | 46c | 6,025$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Under | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…51aebacked Over | 46c | 5,998$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf9…3e2cbacked Over | 46c | 5,896$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…ce37backed Under | 55c | 5,770$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…a309backed Under | 55c | 5,755$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…cbbdbacked Under | 55c | 5,687$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 47c | 5,500$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.97 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…b748backed Under | 54c | 4,442$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…ed72backed Under | 54c | 4,392$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…afbcbacked Under | 54c | 4,305$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed Under | 59c | 4,239$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 12c | 4,228$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.08 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Under | 53c | 4,086$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…5bdfbacked Under | 55c | 3,990$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…9c38backed Under | 54c | 3,954$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4072…4467backed Under | 55c | 3,815$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa385…86e5backed Under | 54c | 3,443$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e6…6e0fbacked Under | 55c | 3,305$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…f69ebacked Under | 54c | 3,303$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c1…750dbacked Under | 54c | 3,303$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f60…e370backed Under | 54c | 3,299$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…ae7cbacked Under | 54c | 3,255$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd446…bb6fbacked Under | 54c | 3,255$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…9af1backed Under | 54c | 3,252$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…0d47backed Under | 54c | 3,236$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…7828backed Under | 54c | 3,234$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7153…ee0cbacked Under | 54c | 3,233$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1062…2b3ebacked Under | 54c | 3,223$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…4ab4backed Under | 54c | 3,220$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…65cdbacked Under | 54c | 3,152$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…dcafbacked Under | 54c | 3,144$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c9…18ddbacked Under | 54c | 3,142$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Under | 53c | 3,133$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1e…c0b0backed Under | 54c | 3,132$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 60cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…b2b4backed Under | 54c | 3,088$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Over | 48c | 3,065$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.97 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc428…c9a7backed Under | 54c | 3,050$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…7e11backed Under | 54c | 3,048$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd465…a405backed Under | 54c | 3,026$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb72…00b2backed Under | 54c | 3,025$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…be7cbacked Under | 54c | 3,014$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…641cbacked Under | 54c | 3,013$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5this page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-1.5)Patriots won
- C.J. Stroud: Rushing Yards O/U 226.5Under won
- Christian Kirk: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Dalton Schultz: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 35.5Under won
- Jayden Higgins: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
- Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Patriots won
- Texans Team Total: O/U 19.5Under won
- Texans vs. PatriotsPatriots won
- Texans vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
- Texans vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 20.5Over won
- TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Woody Marks: Rushing Yards O/U 57.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.