NFL · resolved market
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9711353596ce17960a23f30af685ed378c8eefe55810d689368c121d255d5175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Patriots, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,487,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,470,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,487,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 657 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Patriots | 47c | 1,068,736$503,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565,615.58 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…0f7bbacked Patriots | 50c | 961,801$477,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484,543.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Texans | 50c | 535,466$267,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267,732.99 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Texans | 54c | 508,102$274,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274,374.89 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texans | 52c | 296,994$154,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154,069.3 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Texans | 54c | 293,746$158,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Texans | 48c | 204,540$98,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,459 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…a7a1backed Texans | 54c | 185,185$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Texans | 51c | 152,336$77,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,252.23 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Texans | 53c | 151,203$80,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,137.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Texans | 53c | 120,935$64,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,086.06 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Patriots | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,000 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Texans | 52c | 76,744$39,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,907.12 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Texans | 53c | 69,205$36,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,678.65 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Patriots | 46c | 58,900$27,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,806.19 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Patriots | 47c | 49,311$23,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,909.13 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Texans | 23c | 44,025$10,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,138.07 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texans | 50c | 40,173$20,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,076.12 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Texans | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,200 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Patriots | 49c | 37,415$18,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,151.62 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Texans | 22c | 33,590$7,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,278.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Patriots | 47c | 33,531$15,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,773.66 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Patriots | 46c | 32,000$14,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,280 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Texans | 53c | 31,192$16,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,531.53 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Patriots | 47c | 21,232$9,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,253.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3884…94c5backed Texans | 53c | 20,755$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Patriots | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.99 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…efebbacked Texans | 54c | 18,304$9,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,884.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Texans | 52c | 17,308$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -8.4wins | -0.29per pick | 67cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texans | 50c | 16,489$8,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,295.7 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texans | 50c | 16,058$8,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,029 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Patriots | 57c | 15,860$9,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750.65 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Patriots | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4736…79e8backed Texans | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Patriots | 47c | 14,894$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,893.63 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Texans | 51c | 13,725$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Patriots | 47c | 13,696$6,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,258.79 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Patriots | 79c | 11,148$8,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.83 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Patriots | 48c | 10,420$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,418.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Patriots | 58c | 10,233$5,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.5 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Texans | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Texans | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Texans | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…72ebbacked Texans | 51c | 10,000$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Texans | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Texans | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.98 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Patriots | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.98 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Patriots | 52c | 9,800$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,660 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Texans | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Patriots | 68c | 9,176$6,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.39 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Patriots | 47c | 8,351$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texans | 52c | 7,451$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.07 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Patriots | 47c | 6,777$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Patriots | 66c | 6,759$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.49 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307b…fe95backed Patriots | 47c | 6,515$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Texans | 51c | 6,370$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.1 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…7e55backed Patriots | 47c | 6,363$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Patriots | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 60cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…9cbdbacked Patriots | 47c | 6,088$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Texans | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Texans | 51c | 5,988$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.88 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Patriots | 47c | 5,501$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Texans | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Patriots | 47c | 4,888$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe912…630abacked Patriots | 47c | 4,794$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Texans | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Texans | 20c | 4,614$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.88 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Texans | 51c | 4,163$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Patriots | 47c | 4,148$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.44 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6e…d642backed Patriots | 48c | 4,121$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Texans | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Texans | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.98 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…a929backed Texans | 51c | 3,925$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed Patriots | 45c | 3,924$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Texans | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Texans | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Patriots | 47c | 3,666$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.98 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Texans | 20c | 3,637$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Patriots | 67c | 3,583$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.8 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Texans | 52c | 3,500$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Texans | 49c | 3,495$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…42e3backed Texans | 53c | 3,284$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4a…d409backed Texans | 53c | 3,277$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…2d12backed Texans | 53c | 3,257$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…cb33backed Texans | 53c | 3,153$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…530abacked Texans | 53c | 3,121$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…bc34backed Texans | 53c | 3,112$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…e020backed Texans | 53c | 3,111$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…81d3backed Texans | 53c | 3,088$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…a815backed Texans | 53c | 3,056$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Texans | 54c | 3,056$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.85 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8ed3backed Texans | 53c | 3,005$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Texans | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Texans | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Texans | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Texans | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…b40dbacked Texans | 53c | 2,994$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f02…9da5backed Texans | 53c | 2,974$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9e6ebacked Texans | 53c | 2,877$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Patriots | 46c | 2,852$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.11 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Patriots (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-1.5)Patriots won
- C.J. Stroud: Rushing Yards O/U 226.5Under won
- Christian Kirk: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Dalton Schultz: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 35.5Under won
- Jayden Higgins: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
- Texans Team Total: O/U 19.5Under won
- Texans vs. PatriotsPatriots won
- Texans vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
- Texans vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 20.5Over won
- Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5Over won
- TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Woody Marks: Rushing Yards O/U 57.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.