TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67f9…d241

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 58 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10,259.79
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$4,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,882.65
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$6,705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$6,705.24
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,829.26
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18,717.75
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$992.84
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10,876.47
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$4,124.99
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,816Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+409.1%+$15,610.68
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$5,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$5,258.9
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,334Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+609%+$20,302.62
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,066.29
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$8,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$8,482.58
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,907.17
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$4,150
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$2,363
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,080
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$243.94
All 21 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10,530
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,063Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+522.4%+$16,003.46
Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,506.8
Will Kenny Dillingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,802Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25.3%+$455.09
Will Tulane win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.97
Will Arizona State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.02
Will TCU win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21.06
Georgia Southern vs. Marshallbacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$37.61
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$5,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$5,566.12
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-24.5)backed West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$3,180
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,999.99
Utah vs. Kansasbacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,947.73
Arizona State vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,350
Spread: Utah (-17.5)backed Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,324Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$6,075.99
Kansas State vs. Utahbacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,731.16
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,977.53
TCU vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.89
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$534.65
Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.55
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$850.4
Will Utah State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Miami (FL) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.82
Will Texas A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.5
Will Saint Louis win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
Will Missouri win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.13
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
Will Clemson win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.13
Will Villanova win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.29
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.17
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.97
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,881.92
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28.02
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$77.8
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$6,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$6,010.08
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$519.36
ChatGPT #1 app May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$326.59
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick25cpaid+146.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+75.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24,161.74
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,853.07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$4,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,003.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $240 September 8–14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,811Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,810.73
Will Solana reach $210 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$851.32
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,555.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,068.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+1,328.6%+$427.62
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+809.1%+$4,583.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$186.96
Will the government shutdown end November 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$414.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$445
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA say "Gaming" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,785Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,785.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.