NFL · resolved market
Panthers vs. 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ef509d0d50702dc74e6c7d5d4c42cb863ad3cc70cac4ecd61eee7afbeb5aa0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof Panthers, 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,035,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,529,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,035,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,039 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed 49ers | 78c | 1,135,427$883,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252,036.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Panthers | 21c | 697,991$145,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,864.03 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed 49ers | 78c | 527,911$411,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,140.52 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Panthers | 23c | 307,047$69,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,720.8 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Panthers | 22c | 280,626$61,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,737.67 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Panthers | 23c | 256,104$57,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,853.95 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Panthers | 22c | 199,999$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,999.84 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Panthers | 24c | 197,861$47,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,048.63 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Panthers | 22c | 180,000$39,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,599.99 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Panthers | 22c | 178,555$39,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,282.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Panthers | 17c | 152,982$25,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,968.14 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 23c | 142,010$32,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,662.3 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 23c | 126,563$29,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,109.49 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Panthers | 23c | 107,800$24,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,694.92 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked 49ers | 77c | 100,000$77,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,000 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed 49ers | 77c | 95,000$73,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,850 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Panthers | 23c | 83,000$19,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,090 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Panthers | 22c | 72,500$15,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,950 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 22c | 67,743$15,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,225.99 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Panthers | 22c | 65,679$14,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,449.42 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Panthers | 7c | 59,063$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,332.76 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Panthers | 22c | 58,391$12,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,846.02 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked 49ers | 77c | 56,879$43,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,080.48 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Panthers | 22c | 38,573$8,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,486.15 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Panthers | 21c | 36,879$7,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,829.77 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed 49ers | 77c | 32,608$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,607.67 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers | 6c | 30,515$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.32 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Panthers | 23c | 30,251$6,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,957.81 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed 49ers | 76c | 30,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 49ers | 78c | 29,557$22,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,575.92 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Panthers | 1c | 29,151$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.38 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked 49ers | 78c | 27,724$21,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.36 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Panthers | 23c | 27,065$6,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,339.18 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed 49ers | 76c | 25,144$19,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,077.47 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Panthers | 23c | 21,130$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.99 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed 49ers | 78c | 20,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Panthers | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed 49ers | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Panthers | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Panthers | 24c | 19,999$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Panthers | 22c | 19,526$4,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,330.43 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 23c | 18,137$4,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.74 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Panthers | 24c | 18,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.92 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers | 23c | 17,880$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.4 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed 49ers | 76c | 17,400$13,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed 49ers | 76c | 17,133$13,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111.89 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed 49ers | 76c | 17,000$12,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Panthers | 23c | 15,015$3,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,453.45 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…77d3backed Panthers | 24c | 14,900$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Panthers | 23c | 13,043$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Panthers | 23c | 13,043$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…5928backed Panthers | 23c | 13,000$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Panthers | 15c | 12,621$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.86 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked 49ers | 76c | 12,500$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed 49ers | 76c | 11,867$9,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.08 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Panthers | 6c | 11,790$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.88 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Panthers | 23c | 11,740$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.2 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed 49ers | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Panthers | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Panthers | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Panthers | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers | 23c | 9,835$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.17 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Panthers | 27c | 9,293$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Panthers | 23c | 9,229$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.62 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Panthers | 23c | 8,694$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Panthers | 3c | 7,678$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.44 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Panthers | 19c | 7,611$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Panthers | 24c | 7,505$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.25 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…e9ecbacked Panthers | 0c | 7,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…0544backed Panthers | 23c | 7,400$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed 49ers | 78c | 7,230$5,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.6 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed 49ers | 76c | 7,174$5,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.72 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 49ers | 79c | 7,041$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.61 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Panthers | 22c | 7,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.95 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed 49ers | 79c | 6,911$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -8.4wins | -0.29per pick | 67cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Panthers | 22c | 6,695$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.93 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3479…db82backed 49ers | 77c | 6,500$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae6…4da5backed 49ers | 77c | 6,500$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed 49ers | 78c | 6,450$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Panthers | 23c | 6,285$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…b7abbacked 49ers | 78c | 6,200$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed 49ers | 80c | 6,158$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…1670backed 49ers | 76c | 6,150$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc899…8ea0backed Panthers | 23c | 5,868$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Panthers | 18c | 5,580$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Panthers | 22c | 5,253$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.6 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Panthers | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Panthers | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Panthers | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Panthers | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Panthers | 23c | 5,000$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.26 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Panthers | 23c | 4,769$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.76 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 49ers | 78c | 4,621$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.71 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…16f3backed 49ers | 78c | 4,600$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Panthers | 22c | 4,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Panthers | 23c | 4,478$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Panthers | 11c | 4,446$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.07 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Panthers | 22c | 4,444$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.68 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed 49ers | 78c | 4,350$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.96 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. 49ersthis page
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-3.5)49ers won
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-4.5)49ers won
- Panthers vs. 49ers: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- Panthers vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 25.5Under won
- Panthers vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5Under won
- Panthers vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: 49ers (-10.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-7.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-9.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.