NFL · resolved market
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5845506d06fe50e56cbc558a3b42c00b190a8a13510e76ece6f7130871551265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof 49ers, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,203,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,235,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,203,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed 49ers | 51c | 452,446$229,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223,281.67 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Panthers | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed 49ers | 48c | 139,829$67,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,711.15 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Panthers | 50c | 120,000$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked 49ers | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Panthers | 49c | 82,576$40,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,462.31 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 52c | 75,816$39,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,405.95 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Panthers | 52c | 61,856$32,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,315.93 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Panthers | 51c | 57,482$29,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,315.92 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Panthers | 52c | 53,206$27,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,667.05 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 49ers | 49c | 51,814$25,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,404.62 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Panthers | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Panthers | 52c | 34,000$17,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,609.97 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Panthers | 51c | 30,000$15,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,374.48 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers | 51c | 28,187$14,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,468.28 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Panthers | 50c | 25,347$12,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,673.5 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed 49ers | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed 49ers | 47c | 25,000$11,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,149.98 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 50c | 23,711$11,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,850.97 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed 49ers | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Panthers | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed 49ers | 48c | 19,524$9,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,152.38 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Panthers | 52c | 17,679$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,149.52 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked 49ers | 51c | 16,913$8,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,355.57 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Panthers | 53c | 14,706$7,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,723.24 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Panthers | 53c | 10,092$5,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,348.76 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Panthers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed 49ers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.94 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked 49ers | 49c | 9,252$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.74 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked 49ers | 49c | 8,673$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,423.47 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed 49ers | 49c | 6,173$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.07 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed 49ers | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…adbfbacked 49ers | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Panthers | 58c | 6,067$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Panthers | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Panthers | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 49ers | 45c | 5,448$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.63 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Panthers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Panthers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Panthers | 51c | 4,998$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 30c | 4,801$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.53 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Panthers | 51c | 4,555$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.02 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Panthers | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Panthers | 53c | 4,255$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…033bbacked 49ers | 49c | 4,081$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed 49ers | 49c | 4,003$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.47 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 48c | 3,909$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.27 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Panthers | 51c | 3,779$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.36 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Panthers | 50c | 3,500$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.98 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Panthers | 53c | 3,404$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.45 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed 49ers | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Panthers | 53c | 3,059$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.4 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Panthers | 53c | 2,831$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.23 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Panthers | 53c | 2,787$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…4e57backed 49ers | 49c | 2,624$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed 49ers | 49c | 2,549$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.98 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Panthers | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 49ers | 49c | 2,480$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.86 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Panthers | 53c | 2,400$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f3…72fcbacked 49ers | 50c | 2,060$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…e2babacked Panthers | 50c | 2,060$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Panthers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Panthers | 54c | 2,000$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.66 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed 49ers | 48c | 1,966$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.36 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Panthers | 53c | 1,886$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 49ers | 50c | 1,801$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.09 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed 49ers | 48c | 1,750$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Panthers | 52c | 1,535$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Panthers | 51c | 1,500$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Panthers | 53c | 1,472$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…0f1cbacked 49ers | 49c | 1,318$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Panthers | 52c | 1,242$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed 49ers | 48c | 1,224$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.42 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 52c | 1,159$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.48 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed 49ers | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Panthers | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Panthers | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked 49ers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed 49ers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed 49ers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 49ers | 48c | 1,000$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.76 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked 49ers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Panthers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked 49ers | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Panthers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked 49ers | 49c | 888$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers | 49c | 841$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.09 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdad…6904backed 49ers | 49c | 832.16$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Panthers | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Panthers | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed 49ers | 48c | 672.92$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 49ers | 43c | 643.27$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.81 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2054…533ebacked Panthers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed 49ers | 64c | 586.15$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Panthers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Panthers | 52c | 575.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Panthers | 52c | 573.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed 49ers | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Panthers | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 49ers (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-3.5)49ers won
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-4.5)49ers won
- Panthers vs. 49ers49ers won
- Panthers vs. 49ers: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- Panthers vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 25.5Under won
- Panthers vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5Under won
- Panthers vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: 49ers (-10.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-9.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.