NFL · resolved market
Panthers vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca7574d76a4bf2673b6103dc532a2a86bf78c0eccd69c27d1584ae9232b5a215
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $605,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $615,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $605,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Over | 49c | 426,478$208,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,929.05 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Under | 51c | 178,142$90,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,289.54 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 149,891$76,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,446.56 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 52c | 23,504$12,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,281.78 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Under | 53c | 22,642$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,641.93 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…fb7ebacked Over | 50c | 19,200$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…0649backed Under | 50c | 19,200$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 48c | 16,267$7,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,782.67 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Over | 51c | 16,000$8,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,119.99 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 14,788$7,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,246.07 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 14,783$7,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,457.03 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 48c | 9,318$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 50c | 9,000$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…c9fabacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…4c15backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 7,371$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.74 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Under | 52c | 5,770$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Over | 48c | 4,028$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 51c | 3,615$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.68 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…9fe7backed Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 2,785$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.89 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…e215backed Under | 53c | 2,692$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Over | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 1,871$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.9 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Under | 53c | 1,722$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Under | 53c | 1,688$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.63 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Under | 53c | 1,684$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.14 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 50c | 1,653$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.25 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 50c | 1,560$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Under | 51c | 1,534$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.74 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 51c | 1,292$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.87 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 52c | 1,245$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.6 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 48c | 1,142$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.75 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…821cbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 48c | 999.96$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 49c | 998.35$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.16 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 777.49$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.65 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Under | 52c | 746$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 50c | 667$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Over | 51c | 579.24$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.47 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Under | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 451.15$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.34 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 47c | 425$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over | 50c | 390$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…9ce4backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 53c | 380.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Under | 52c | 375$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Under | 52c | 300$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 49c | 294.37$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…ba36backed Under | 52c | 286.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…72c5backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 51c | 256.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 50c | 250$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked Under | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 222$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Over | 46c | 219.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Under | 58c | 179$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 50c | 173.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…9d25backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Under | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…544ebacked Under | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…fae8backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5this page
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-3.5)49ers won
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-4.5)49ers won
- Panthers vs. 49ers49ers won
- Panthers vs. 49ers: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- Panthers vs. 49ers: 1H O/U 25.5Under won
- Panthers vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: 49ers (-10.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-7.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-9.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.