TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd339…9d25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.53
Nakashima vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.5
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$155
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.19
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.38
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Jodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
Fery vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.3
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$55.08
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$188.99
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.49
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Fariabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.4
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baezbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$31.75
Tien vs. Baez: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.78
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Cincinnati Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$96.6
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$275.3
Cincinnati Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$14.17
Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.24
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$387.93
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Chargersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.2
Eagles vs. Ravensbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Titans vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$212.42
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+203%+$138.06
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$158
Panthers vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$265
Buccaneers vs. Rams: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+87.5%+$155.69
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+144.4%+$33.36
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$156
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+39%+$117.03
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$124
Rams vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$190.93
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.18
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$301.69
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.89
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$326.3
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$73.13
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$205.08
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$569
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,449.23
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: United States (-2.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$300.12
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$122.25
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+552.3%+$135.32
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.91
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.47
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$34
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$544
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$515
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.98
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,397Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$931.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+331.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: San Diego State (-6.5)backed San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Washington vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+809.1%+$161.82
Duke vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+284.6%+$56.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $4.00 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will XRP reach $6.00 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.