TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tampa Bay Raysof Los Angeles Dodgers, Tampa Bay Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,103
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,103 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c35,000$16,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,099.9961351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Tampa Bay Rays54c19,852$10,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,131.8831149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Los Angeles Dodgers41c15,788$6,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,518.7448451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays61c15,762$9,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,142.7711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays58c7,448$4,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.9812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Los Angeles Dodgers42c2,457$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.047934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays67c2,410$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.9310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays62c2,331$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.784,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c2,200$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94686653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Tampa Bay Rays55c1,859$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.5920648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays54c1,616$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.56,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6902,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers32c1,420$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.323,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays55c1,379$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.178,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays55c1,289$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.278,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.895,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers32c1,199$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.324,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays61c1,081$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.582,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays54c999$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.541,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays57c670$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.13,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Tampa Bay Rays56c557.29$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2187750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Tampa Bay Rays62c506.25$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.384854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Tampa Bay Rays57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21532850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays54c420$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Tampa Bay Rays69c395.75$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6828453.9%153 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c372.71$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.874,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Tampa Bay Rays57c360$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.848354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c335$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays55c308.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.053,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers32c303.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.221,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c217.6$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9222350.7%113 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Los Angeles Dodgers29c189.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5559549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-48.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Los Angeles Dodgers33c160.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8423140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers34c156.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.029,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays56c156$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.215,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers36c147.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.261,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Tampa Bay Rays62c146$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.481,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd339…9d25backed Tampa Bay Rays75c136$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Tampa Bay Rays59c134.12$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.358349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Tampa Bay Rays62c128.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0143560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers27c121.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.532,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Tampa Bay Rays62c112$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.569855.1%54 W · 44 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Los Angeles Dodgers23c106.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5454715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Tampa Bay Rays58c102.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.935040%20 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Tampa Bay Rays55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Tampa Bay Rays55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4512944.2%57 W · 72 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays54c94.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.561,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Tampa Bay Rays57c92.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.073,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Los Angeles Dodgers32c89.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71,01450.4%511 W · 503 L+52.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Tampa Bay Rays61c87.82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.241,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c81.37$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7636250.3%182 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers44c81.37$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7629354.9%161 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Tampa Bay Rays57c81.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.956851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Tampa Bay Rays57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3435248%169 W · 183 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Tampa Bay Rays52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9247549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers39c76.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.094,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Tampa Bay Rays55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7321656%121 W · 95 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c64.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf561…f20dbacked Tampa Bay Rays66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Tampa Bay Rays68c58.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9158649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7810…b011backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Los Angeles Dodgers38c56.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.681,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7525850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Tampa Bay Rays68c54.93$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6440554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Tampa Bay Rays56c53.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5977951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bc…3503backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c53.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.595757.9%33 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.585949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Los Angeles Dodgers32c47.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.168850%44 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays61c42.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.896,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Tampa Bay Rays68c38.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c37.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.742,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers41c37.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.391,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530960.2%186 W · 123 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Los Angeles Dodgers32c31.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.255758%323 W · 234 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c31.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.617952%93 W · 86 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8490…ac46backed Los Angeles Dodgers41c29.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Tampa Bay Rays55c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0546854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Tampa Bay Rays55c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0572154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Tampa Bay Rays60c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Tampa Bay Rays55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.291,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Tampa Bay Rays68c24.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7169447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Tampa Bay Rays62c22.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7417842.7%76 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Tampa Bay Rays68c20.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6351555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed Tampa Bay Rays59c18.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.475655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Tampa Bay Rays55c18.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.191,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Tampa Bay Rays69c16.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.011,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Tampa Bay Rays68c15.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9226753.9%144 W · 123 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.