TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$529,887
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$531,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,887 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under52c286,413$148,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137,478.0341149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Under52c205,341$106,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,021.1146949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over48c102,058$48,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,987.8332251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over48c100,000$48,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,488.9255053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Over48c73,450$35,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,2563060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over48c41,667$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00016548.5%80 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over48c36,045$17,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,300.442,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,4001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c22,085$10,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,437.7511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c19,000$9,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,120.031,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over48c18,000$8,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6401,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over48c15,415$7,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,399.4332152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,76018241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over48c10,332$4,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,959.3692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9847953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c4,500$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c3,052$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.0812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c2,343$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.558,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over48c2,288$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09312640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over48c2,128$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.2838353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over57c2,068$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.7591252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under64c1,464$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.551877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Over48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5762737%10 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010750.5%54 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011848.3%57 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over48c907.6$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.6561450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c896.01$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.096,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under53c800$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over48c744.68$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.4587750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c729$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.921,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over49c628$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.765,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Over48c599.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28869351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Over48c506.27$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.014854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24012939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24021653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c492$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.211,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Over60c439.12$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4716456.7%93 W · 71 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over48c428.3$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.252,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Under24c419.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.91662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over59c416.17$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5466050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Over48c413$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.246953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over48c402.5$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.240341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18839440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Under53c380$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.648354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over48c333.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under42c332.48$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.296,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under51c313.79$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7647350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c303.36$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.814,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over48c301.52$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.573,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14430048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1447044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Over48c281.67$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.210249%50 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over5c278$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.651,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Under52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12051449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…618ebacked Under52c248.08$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.08977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+69.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Under49c242.86$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.861369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Under43c228.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3697050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over50c220.46$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2351555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7fe…4a05backed Under53c218.35$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.354770.2%33 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.84450%22 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under53c204.33$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5190446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.521,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under51c195$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.551,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over59c194$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.792,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under63c186.02$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3274657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630a…f06bbacked Over48c185.42$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894425%11 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-45.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10544744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over48c166.58$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9643560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under53c166.04$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0415147%71 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under43c164$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9770737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over48c163$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2461250.5%309 W · 303 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over45c159.02$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7254651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over47c153.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.120350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524350.6%123 W · 120 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under44c143.18$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.92,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under44c140$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over48c139.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8736250.3%182 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over48c139.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8729354.9%161 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over48c138.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4839151.9%203 W · 188 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over41c137.78$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.831,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over48c131$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.881,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over48c124$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.521,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under28c119.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1454715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over20c118.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3135248%169 W · 183 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under45c118.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.182,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1419153.9%103 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over43c105.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4527646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under24c101$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.241,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811250%56 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489141.8%38 W · 53 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4738142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over48c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6878155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Over48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.27646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.