MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67ea0ca346f79ef338f47ac8b4e0e539cd68c0762ae6db6f77aa6ecdcfaa8c87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 3,633$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Over | 57c | 2,107$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 1,642$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…21fbbacked Under | 23c | 750$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 740.92$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.31 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Under | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 27c | 567.77$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.59 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 22c | 565.31$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 68c | 453.57$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.43 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 70c | 354$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.91 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 64c | 288$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 60c | 192.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 64c | 166.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 55c | 162.38$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 76c | 148$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 44c | 142.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 36c | 139.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 53c | 120.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 55c | 119.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 109.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 30c | 92.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Over | 38c | 89.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 29c | 89.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 26c | 88.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Over | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 37c | 59.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 27c | 53.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Over | 28c | 52.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 26c | 52.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Under | 32c | 46.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Under | 51c | 45.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 30c | 35.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 40c | 25.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Under | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 67c | 20.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.