TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7fe…4a05

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT4770.2%33 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.82
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.92
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.77
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$5.03
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.37
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$195.09
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$147.1
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$275
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$103.35
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$138.46
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$106.42
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3582.9%29 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$50.78
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$103.33
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$94.55
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66%+$32.99
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$106.78
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$93.9
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.48
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$70.51
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$62.48
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$54.34
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42.78
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$71.32
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$62.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$46.67
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$96.62
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.37
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-65.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sunbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$103.53
FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$17.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwaitbacked Malaysia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$4.94
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$3.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78%+$9.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$7.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.