TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Astana FK win on 2026-07-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,816 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes28c5,176$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.582,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c3,885$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.962,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No72c2,793$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.546764.2%43 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes36c2,676$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.0855845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No66c1,878$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.492,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No33c999.36$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.391,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c723.77$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.873,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Yes70c716.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No14c700$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6021827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid+238.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+106.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Yes26c597.52$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.364223.8%10 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x624d…ff0abacked Yes70c572.79$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No40c567$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.451,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34520740.1%83 W · 124 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes3c499.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes19c494.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.234136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes67c424.8$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3765535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No31c399.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.4777855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No32c383.87$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.8720050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes68c364.53$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2471,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes21c363.94$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5310839.8%43 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No79c325.96$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7137750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes60c325$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5178344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No12c306.56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.776619.7%13 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-54.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked No27c275.65$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+85.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No33c269$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.859949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No69c239.43$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6735146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes48c220.34$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5414241.5%59 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No19c215.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.532436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No26c213.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9715628.2%44 W · 112 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No72c199.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5617059.4%101 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes25c184.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1945135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3e…0b87backed Yes67c164.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes64c163.69$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.767560%45 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+77.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes72c162.17$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4838047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012242.6%52 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425a…c41ebacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.4wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-57.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4693…7b8fbacked Yes66c151.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes67c150$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.947649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No34c139.35$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6416443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked No69c126.34$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.232450%12 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No33c124.14$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.175158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No33c121.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6188048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes69c119.22$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2614245.8%65 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No32c113.77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.623237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fe…4a05backed Yes63c111.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-65.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes49c110.51$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.585149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No34c105.44$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.444060%24 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes23c103.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0319250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No34c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.544156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes66c93.33$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No50c91.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6120244.6%90 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b5…34abbacked Yes69c90.89$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Yes68c88.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503470.6%24 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No53c74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.923950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes45c73.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1418244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Yes63c73.02$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No36c73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7223653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes66c70.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.387755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No67c67.4$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0979532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes31c66.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.747954.4%43 W · 36 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No33c64.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3379354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x928d…c482backed Yes69c61.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes26c60.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-80.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe6…4a1bbacked No34c57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.513956.4%22 W · 17 L+10.1wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+330.1%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes27c55.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0612355.3%68 W · 55 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes41c50.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7917941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7827846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c23…ffcabacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+464.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe692…13a8backed Yes67c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.550%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4aa…f4e5backed No32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+53.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No32c46.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.575058%29 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes65c45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2537043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked No36c42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.888047.5%38 W · 42 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1968…3efbbacked Yes70c41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes70c39.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.361618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes67c37.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0297346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked Yes51c36.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.545425.9%14 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-56.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No34c33.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.169062.2%56 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3247…9488backed Yes69c33.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.082536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2513046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f79…d807backed Yes66c30.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Yes68c29.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Yes63c26.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.69633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.045052%26 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10e5…b4e9backed Yes66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe763…149abacked Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.