Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5616b2e0efde57a8d9b351febfbdb4f724753379fab09ee85c7f769cc06dfbb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 2,359$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.41 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,244$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.62 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 76c | 2,119$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.89 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 30c | 1,673$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.07 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 11c | 1,514$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.74 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 13c | 1,403$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.81 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 80c | 1,383$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.34 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 1c | 1,237$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 10c | 1,148$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 49c | 1,063$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.02 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…448fbacked Yes | 12c | 984.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 972.33$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.33 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 66c | 961.97$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.75 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 941.44$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.21 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 880.3$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.6 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 76c | 818.5$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.36 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 736.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.32 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 13c | 718.53$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.12 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Yes | 23c | 698.77$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 3c | 689.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.66 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 75c | 655.84$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.47 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 14c | 608.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.24 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 2c | 605.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.82 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +238.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 13c | 595.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.41 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Yes | 71c | 560.23$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 20c | 521.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 46c | 508$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.62 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 469.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.54 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…2c16backed Yes | 16c | 374.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +187.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 41c | 365$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 50c | 362.03$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 335.55$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 35c | 318.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.76 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 14c | 262.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.64 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…ffcabacked Yes | 9c | 248.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +464.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 35c | 218.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 16c | 198.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.86 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 26c | 171.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…3efbbacked Yes | 79c | 166.01$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 17c | 164$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 31c | 151.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 13c | 147.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 28c | 125.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Yes | 13c | 121.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 72c | 116.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…036abacked Yes | 75c | 115.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 23c | 109.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 9c | 108.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Yes | 29c | 102.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed No | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 33c | 94.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 72c | 87.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Yes | 79c | 86.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2677…fe76backed Yes | 27c | 77.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf791…4932backed Yes | 18c | 74.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…2544backed Yes | 68c | 73.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 28c | 72.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a9…41d1backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e52…5535backed Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 30c | 59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 74c | 56.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Yes | 73c | 49.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 24c | 48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked No | 33c | 43.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…d377backed Yes | 50c | 29.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City end in a draw?No won
- Will Astana FK win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.