TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e52…5535

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: England O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.77
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$8.38
Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.81
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+60%+$18.75
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21
All 24 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$14.7
Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Team to Advancebacked FK Vardar Skopje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Will FCSB win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$12.2
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$13.55
Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
Will Lille win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$8.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$22.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.65
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+57.9%+$15.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitalik Buterin attend the March 7 Crypto Summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$7.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.