TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Lille win on 2025-10-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$358,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$366,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,935 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7bde…8c91backed No52c266,237$138,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138,354.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c149,254$69,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,194.853,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes48c59,393$28,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,884.713748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes19c30,741$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,901.0312269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes48c28,951$13,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,994.142245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes48c25,575$12,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,3808755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d67…7a40backed No80c8,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes17c3,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.9914042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No52c2,494$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.1312247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c2,187$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.92,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes19c2,049$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.9926022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0402245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71012166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8004235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…bbcbbacked No40c973.08$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c7…1db7backed Yes40c937$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c15…73b3backed Yes23c862.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+93%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes4c837.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.895527.3%15 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+224.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed No55c608.88$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes50c569.66$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.83450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes18c512.78$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.12740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes48c468.83$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.794100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No43c456.28$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.320042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No49c430.32$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.196241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24010332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No19c282.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.751618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes32c271.82$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3424557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed No57c264.91$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+48.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes54c248.15$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.153237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes17c225.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1619736%71 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No13c216.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.632343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1586942%29 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x844b…c765backed Yes76c172.82$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad4f…b0bcbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66e…3430backed Yes19c157.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+84%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No60c149.15$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.492347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes19c131.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.587521.3%16 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes43c128.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed Yes19c110.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.53728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…2accbacked Yes48c110.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+50.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.26650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+61.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No10c103$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes48c102.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.964551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd7…2a14backed No80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x346e…1eb7backed Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-76.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed No57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd306…f9e9backed No80c76$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.820%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4644…a2b6backed Yes45c75.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed No60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes18c56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9237926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacd8…b9f6backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+70.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbabc…26ebbacked Yes48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+120.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No45c49.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes45c44.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes32c43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.151346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7826…20b1backed No48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2014352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.99852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be5…c002backed Yes60c36.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c35…c311backed No55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No55c34.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd307…f2b5backed Yes77c33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe37e…0009backed No62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x797f…d4e0backed No64c31.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick75cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed No75c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked No80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b10…befdbacked Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…751ebacked No80c23.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed No52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c57…eb35backed Yes64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Yes65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.13161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e52…5535backed Yes56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0a…875bbacked Yes63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc72b…3756backed No70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33ae…ffa9backed No80c16.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d0…a114backed No80c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No79c13.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.988045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.